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Home / Motorsport

F1 Mexico City GP Stats 2026 - 10 Numbers That Decide It

  • Kimi Antonelli must finish ninth or higher in Mexico City to secure the world championship.
  • Every winner since 2015 has started in the top three, making qualifying vital.
  • Overtaking is challenging at the high-altitude circuit, with drivers averaging just 2.7 position changes.
Jeremy Darke
By Jeremy Darke • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst
Updated:
F1 Mexico GP

F1 Mexico City Grand Prix Stats (Photo by Peter Fox/Getty Images)

F1 Mexico City Grand Prix Stats 2026 


Kimi Antonelli needs just two points in Mexico City on Sunday to become world champion, so ninth place will do it. 

He arrives off a dominant win in Austin, and the only question left is whether he clinches it from the top step.

The Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez is 71 laps of a 4.304 km track, sitting higher above sea level than any other circuit on the calendar. It's a standard weekend with no Sprint, and Sergio Pérez starts his 300th Grand Prix in front of his home crowd. These are the numbers I'm watching before the 2026 Formula 1 Mexico City Grand Prix to make my race predictions.

Mexico City Grand Prix start time in Canada: Sunday, November 1 at 3 p.m. ET / noon PT. Clocks go back an hour that morning, so the race starts an hour earlier on your clock than Saturday's sessions. Qualifying is Saturday at 5 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. PT. Every session is live on TSN in English and RDS in French, with streaming on TSN+.
Expertpicks Track Scorecard - Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez

MeasureScore
Qualifying Matters5/10
Safety Car Chance5/10
Overtaking Difficulty7/10
Strategy Swing4/10
Chaos Rating5/10

Mexico City looks like an overtaking track with that long main straight, but the thin air makes it hard to follow another car through the corners. Pole only wins half the time, yet the winner almost always comes from the first two rows.

10 Numbers That Decide the Mexico City Grand Prix


2 Points - All Antonelli Needs

The official F1 race report from Austin confirms that Antonelli needs only two points in Mexico City to seal the title. Ninth place or better does it, no matter where his rivals finish. He leads by 123 points with five rounds left.

5 of 10 - How Often Pole Wins in Mexico

Since the race returned in 2015, pole has won five of the 10 Grands Prix here, including the last two with Carlos Sainz in 2024 and Lando Norris in 2025. Bottas lost the race from pole in 2021 after Verstappen went around the outside of both Mercedes into Turn 1.

10 of 10 - Winners From the Top Three

Every winner since 2015 has started in the top three. When pole hasn't won, the driver in second or third has. Qualifying in the first two rows is close to essential.

2.7 Places - How Little the Order Changes

Drivers here have finished an average of just 2.7 places away from where they started, among the lowest of any track. The long run to Turn 1 creates chances on lap 1, but after that, the thin air makes it hard to follow closely through the slower corners.

3 of 6 - Races With a Safety Car

A full Safety Car came out in three of the last six races, in 2021, 2023 and 2024. A Virtual Safety Car came out in four of them. That's a coin flip for a full neutralisation, and with a one-stop the usual plan, a well-timed Safety Car is the most likely way to shake up the order.

5 Wins - Verstappen's Mexico Record

Max Verstappen has won here five times (2017, 2018, 2021, 2022 and 2023), more than any other driver. He was third last year, behind Norris and Charles Leclerc.

6 in a Row - Verstappen's Podium Streak

Verstappen has finished on the podium at six straight events. Austin was the hardest one, with power unit problems and a slow pit stop, and he still finished third.

2 Straight - Leclerc's Runner-Up Finishes

Leclerc finished second in Singapore and second again in Austin. He was also second here last year, and Ferrari won in 2024.

1 Point - The Fight for Second

George Russell has 242 points and Lewis Hamilton has 241 in the battle for runner-up. Russell finished eighth in Austin, and Hamilton was fourth. That fight is as close as it gets over the last five rounds.

2,200 Metres - The Highest Track in F1

Mexico City sits more than 2,200 metres above sea level. The thin air cuts downforce and makes cooling the brakes and power units harder, which is why reliability problems often show up here. Cars run their biggest wings of the season but still slide around in the slow corners.

What the Numbers Point To

Start at the front and you'll most likely win here. Every winner since 2015 has come from the top three, and drivers barely move from their grid slots once the opening lap is done.

That puts the focus on Saturday, and Mercedes look like they have the fastest car after Austin. I break down every market in my full Mexico City Grand Prix picks before lights out on Sunday.

Mexico City Grand Prix FAQ

  • What time does the Mexico City Grand Prix start in Canada?

    The race starts Sunday, November 1 at 3 p.m. ET, which is noon PT. Clocks go back an hour that morning.

  • What does Antonelli need to win the title in Mexico?

    He needs two points, which means finishing ninth or better. Where Russell and Hamilton finish doesn't matter.

  • How often does pole win the Mexico City Grand Prix?

    Pole has won five of the 10 races since 2015, and every winner in that time started in the top three.

  • Who won the Mexico City Grand Prix last year?

    Lando Norris won from pole for McLaren in 2025, ahead of Charles Leclerc and Max Verstappen.

Jeremy Darke
Jeremy Darke

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst

Jeremy is a sports journalist and analyst covering major US leagues including NBA, NHL and NFL, seeking out player props and value.


From playing rugby, ice hockey, tennis and soccer in his home country of Australia to travelling the world covering US sports, he has found a niche in betting expertise.

His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster here at ExpertPicks.com.

You can find Jeremy on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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