Rangers vs Oilers Prediction and Picks - Draisaitl Rolling

Eight days after Edmonton won 4-1 at Madison Square Garden, the rematch moves to Rogers Place, and this Rangers vs Oilers prediction leans on the players rather than the side, with puck drop at 8 p.m. ET.

Draisaitl to score at +100 is the first bet. He has found the net in 11 of 18 games, six of his last 10 and three of his last five, with seven shots on Saturday.

The Rangers' penalty kill is the one thing in the way. It has stopped 89.1% of chances, but Draisaitl has eight of his 16 goals at even strength, so he doesn't need a penalty to score.

Evan Bouchard has an assist in 16 of 18 games and in each of his last six. The price is right at my limit, and I wouldn't go past -182, but he plays almost 26 minutes a night and touches nearly every Edmonton attack.

Adam Fox is my Rangers play at -167. He has a point in 14 of 18 games and three straight, and 20 of his 22 points are assists. He's also had more than five minutes of power-play time in two of his last three games.

I'm passing on the side, as Edmonton at -159 haven't won often enough over the last 10 to justify the price.

The 2025-26 series was split 1-1, with Edmonton winning 2-0 in New York and the Rangers taking a 4-3 overtime win at Rogers Place. Edmonton have won the only meeting this season.

That was the 4-1 win on November 1. Connor McDavid scored 50 seconds in, Colton Dach added a second 5.29 later, and Bouchard's power-play goal made it 3-0 before Pavel Dorofeyev answered for New York.

New York are 4-5-1 in their last 10, but they've won three straight. Dylan Garand has steadied things, allowing three goals across wins over St. Louis and Philadelphia.

On Wednesday, the Rangers trailed Philadelphia 2-1 in the third before Dorofeyev tied it on the power play and Tyler Kartye won it 1.29 later. Saturday's 4-3 win in Seattle was closer than it should have been, as a 4-0 lead shrank to one goal in the third.

Jonas Korpisalo won that game in his first appearance of the season, and Alberts Smits is now day to day with an upper-body injury, according to CBS Sports, in Sunday's update. Garand is expected to start after Korpisalo played on Saturday.

Edmonton are 6-2-2 in their last 10, and the offence carries them. They score 4.17 goals a game, McDavid has 47 points, and the power play is 33.8%, though a 75% penalty kill keeps games open.

Thursday's 5-4 loss to Anaheim came after Edmonton led 2-1, when the Ducks scored four straight goals. On Saturday, they beat Vancouver 4-2, with Jason Dickinson scoring 49 seconds into the third and Draisaitl adding a power-play goal and an empty-netter.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is day to day with a head injury after playing only 6.38 on Saturday, CBS Sports reports in its latest update. Tristan Jarry is expected to start after Devon Levi played on Saturday.