Our Tip
Valencia vs Real Madrid Picks & Betting Tips - Real backed in handicap in La Liga
- Real Madrid are tipped to win by at least two goals at Valencia.
- Valencia have not won any of their six home league matches this season.
- Real Madrid have won nine of their eleven La Liga matches and scored 28 goals.
By Site Editor •
Updated:
Kylian Mbappe of Real Madrid (Getty Images)
Valencia vs Real Madrid Picks
Valencia’s struggles at Mestalla have been a major concern this season, with Los Che still searching for their first home league victory after six attempts.
Real Madrid arrive in excellent form, having won their last four matches across all competitions and we expect Los Blancos to take control and win by at least two goals.
Key Stats
- Valencia have failed to win any of their six home league matches this season (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- 4 of Valencia’s 6 home league games have ended with Under 2.5 Goals.
- Over 4.5 cards have been shown in each of Valencia’s last six matches.
- Real Madrid have won 9 of their opening 11 La Liga matches.
- 9 of Real Madrid’s 11 league matches have featured Over 2.5 Goals.
- Real Madrid have scored first in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Head to Head
Real Madrid hold a clear advantage in the head-to-head record, with 33 wins, 13 draws and 11 defeats against Valencia. Los Che have managed just one victory in their last six meetings (1 win, 1 draw, 4 defeats).
Valencia Form
Valencia finally ended their frustrating run without a home league victory by claiming a valuable 1-0 win away to Elche in their most recent outing.
Javier Aguirre’s side had been struggling for consistency, collecting just nine points from their opening 11 matches (W2, D3, L6), leaving them in 19th place.
Their lack of attacking productivity has been a major issue, with only eight goals scored so far, while they have conceded 17 at the other end.
Los Che have found it particularly difficult to make Mestalla a fortress this season. They have yet to win at home in La Liga, recording two draws and four defeats in their six matches in front of their own supporters.
Their latest home fixtures included a goalless draw against Athletic Club and a 2-1 defeat to Villarreal, highlighting their difficulties in converting possession and attacking pressure into positive results.
They have also failed to score in several league games, something that will concern the coaching staff ahead of facing one of Spain’s strongest defensive and attacking units.
The victory over Elche should provide a timely confidence boost, but the challenge now becomes considerably tougher against Real Madrid.
Valencia will need to be much more efficient in the final third and avoid the defensive mistakes that have cost them points throughout the campaign.
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid are enjoying an impressive run of form under José Mourinho, having won seven consecutive matches across all competitions.
Los Blancos have bounced back strongly from their 2-1 defeat to Atlético Madrid in September and are now firmly back in the title race, sitting third in La Liga with 27 points from their opening 11 games (W9, L2).
Their recent league victories include an emphatic 4-1 win over Sevilla, a hard-fought 2-1 triumph away to Barcelona and a comfortable 3-0 success against Racing Santander.
Their attacking output has been particularly impressive, with 28 goals scored in La Liga so far. Kylian Mbappé remains a major threat in the final third, while Jude Bellingham and the supporting attacking players have also made important contributions.
Madrid have scored at least twice in four of their last five league matches, demonstrating their ability to break down different types of opposition.
They also maintained their winning momentum in midweek, beating AEK Athens 3-2 away from home in the Champions League.
The trip to Mestalla will provide another demanding test, particularly given Valencia's determination to build on their recent victory over Elche. However, Real Madrid have shown enough quality and consistency to approach this fixture with confidence.
Team News
Valencia (4-4-2): Dimitrievski; Arnau Martínez, Tárrega, Pepelu, Gayà; Maffeo, Mayol, Guido Rodríguez, Luis Rioja; Javier Guerra, Danjuma.
Valencia have several injury concerns ahead of Saturday’s clash. David Otorbi, José Arias, Diego López, Sergi Canós and goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen are all expected to miss out, while José Luis Gayà and Umar Sadiq are doubts.
Sadiq scored the winning goal against Elche in Valencia’s last league outing, so his potential absence would be a setback for the hosts. Arnaut Danjuma could lead the line if the Nigerian forward is not passed fit.
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella; Bernardo Silva, Tchouaméni; Diomande, Bellingham, Güler; Mbappé.
Real Madrid will be without Vinícius Júnior, who remains suspended, while Rodrygo, Ferland Mendy and Raúl Asencio are also expected to miss the trip through injury.
Federico Valverde has also had fitness concerns, but is expected to be in contention. Mourinho may consider rotating his squad following Wednesday’s Champions League trip to Athens.
Verdict
Real Madrid arrive in excellent form, having won their last four matches across all competitions and we expect Los Blancos to take control and win by at least two goals.
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