76ers vs Pacers Prediction & Picks - Maxey Leads a Road Cover

The Philadelphia 76ers head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight holding every opponent to 116 points or fewer, which makes them the pick in this 76ers vs Pacers prediction against the Indiana Pacers at 7 p.m. ET.

Look closer at that defence and it's built on pressure. Philadelphia are forcing 18.8 turnovers a night, and live-ball turnovers turn close games into 10-point ones. If Tyrese Haliburton sits, I like the 76ers even more.

Tyrese Maxey is the easiest call on the card. He's scored 25 or more in all four games, playing almost 38 minutes a night, and Joel Embiid's return hasn't cut into his shots.

For the total, I have Philadelphia around 117 and Indiana around 107. The 76ers are fourth in pace but 29th in offensive rating, so the extra possessions aren't becoming points, and their four games have averaged 217.

Philadelphia swept the 2025-26 season series 4-0, winning by an average of 12.8 points. Tonight is the first meeting of the new season.

The last meeting came on April 10 in Indianapolis, a 105-94 76ers win. Philadelphia led by seven at half and pushed it to 12 with a 31-26 third quarter, with Maxey scoring 32 on 9 of 10 at the line and Andre Drummond pulling down 16 rebounds, seven on the offensive glass.

Philadelphia are 3-1, and they're winning without much shooting. They're making 31.7% from three, yet nobody they've played has scored more than 116.

Sunday's 106-93 loss to Detroit came without Embiid on a back-to-back, and Jaylen Brown's 5-of-20 night left Maxey's 29 points on an island. A night earlier, Embiid's 28 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists led a 127-116 win over Milwaukee, with Brown adding 27.

Embiid and VJ Edgecombe are both off the 76ers injury report on ESPN after sitting out Sunday, so the full starting group is back together.

Indiana are 2-2, and ball security is the story. They're giving it away 15.5 times a game, including 21 in the 121-105 home loss to Dallas.

Monday's 110-102 loss in Milwaukee was the second night of a back-to-back, and Indiana led by 11 at half before scoring just 17 in the fourth. Haliburton (22 points, nine assists) and Pascal Siakam (20 points, 13 rebounds) did most of the work.

Ivica Zubac remains out with a sprained ankle, according to ESPN's game preview, leaving Jay Huff at centre. Haliburton is questionable with hamstring tightness, putting Indiana's playmaking at risk. Andrew Nembhard is questionable with a sore neck, which would thin the backcourt further.