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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Predictions & Picks – Under To Cash In NBA Opening Night Clash
- Seven of the past 10 Thunder-Spurs matchups have finished under 231.5 total points
- Both teams are expected to rank among the league’s best defenses this season
- San Antonio favored to win season-opener
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs Predictions & Picks
The Under is tipped to cash in this season-opening clash of Western Conference rivals.
Neither Oklahoma City nor San Antonio play with much tempo, and these two teams are expected to be among the league’s best defensive groups in 2026/27.
- 7 of the previous 10 meetings have produced under 231.5 total points
- The Under cashed in 3 of the 5 regular season meetings in 2025/26
- The Under hit in 31 of San Antonio’s 52 home games last season
- San Antonio Spurs are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings
Head To Head
- San Antonio Spurs lead the all-time series 129-108
- San Antonio Spurs won 111-103 when the two teams last met in May 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Oklahoma City go into their regular season opener having lost four of their five pre-season outings.
The Thunder lost 116-110 to New Orleans, 128-126 to Milwaukee and 113-110 at Atlanta, before failing to follow up a 114-112 victory over Indiana as they lost 116-89 in Houston.
They now enter the new campaign having resisted any temptation to make blockbuster moves.
Oklahoma City instead took steps to lock up existing roster members, re-signing Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams and Cason Wallace.
There were some notable exits for the Thunder though, as the likes of Lu Dort, Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins all moved on.
San Antonio Spurs Form
San Antonio enter the new campaign having rebounded from three consecutive defeats with back-to-back wins to close out the pre-season.
The Spurs lost 123-116 to Atlanta, 102-98 at Phoenix and 119-109 at Utah, before wrapping up their preparations with home wins against Phoenix, 123-103, and Sacramento, 126-97.
Having gone close to winning the championship last season, losing to New York in the NBA Finals, they wasted no time in tying down two key pieces.
Victor Wembanyama signed a five-year contract extension with San Antonio, while Julian Champagnie and Jordan McLaughlin also signed new deals.
The Spurs also moved to bring more veteran presence to the roster, signing Tobias Harris.
Verdict
These two teams have repeatedly gone under this number in recent meetings, and that is no surprise given the defensive talent on show.
More of the same is expected here, and we are also leaning towards San Antonio once again getting the better of a Thunder team they beat in last season’s playoffs.
More of the same is expected here, and we are also leaning towards San Antonio once again getting the better of a Thunder team they beat in last season’s playoffs.
Leigh Copson
Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.
During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.
He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.