Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Predictions & Picks – Back Broncos With Points In Big NFL Matchup
- Denver tipped to cover +1.5 as home underdogs
- Broncos' defence is boosted by Surtain's return and they're 3-0 ATS at home
- Five of Denver’s seven games have gone under 40.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos Predictions & Picks
Denver are tipped to cover as a slight home underdog in this key AFC West clash.
The Broncos’ offense has improved with Sean Payton calling the shots, while the defense remains one of the best units in the league and is boosted by the return of Patrick Surtain.
Mile High is always a big advantage for them too.
- Denver Broncos are 5-2-0 ATS this season
- Denver Broncos are 3-0-0 ATS at home
- Denver Broncos have won the last 3 meetings at home
- The Under has cashed in 5 of Denver’s 7 games so far
Head To Head
- Kansas City Chiefs lead the all-time series 74-59
- Kansas City Chiefs won 31-10 when the two teams last met on September 14
Kansas City Chiefs Form
Kansas City head to Denver looking to bounce back from their first defeat of the season, which dropped them to 5-1.
The Chiefs kicked of the campaign at home to the Broncos, and blew out their AFC North rivals in a 31-10 victory.
They backed that up with a 33-30 overtime win against Indianapolis, before heading to Miami for a 24-10 success against the Dolphins.
Kansas City then downed the Raiders in Las Vegas, 30-27, before making it five-in-a-row with a 22-6 win against the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Chiefs failed to get to 6-0 though, as their offense was shut down in a 20-3 defeat in Seattle on Sunday Night Football.
Denver Broncos Form
Denver return home riding a three-game win streak that has improved their record to 5-2.
The Broncos opened with a 31-10 defeat at Kansas City, but rebounded quickly with back-to-back victories at home.
They downed Jacksonville 20-13 and the Los Angeles Rams 20-26, only to then lose 24-14 when they visited San Francisco.
Denver have not lost since though, beginning this three-game winning run with a 23-17 victory at the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Broncos backed that up by upsetting Seattle at home, 17-14 in overtime, before heading to Arizona to beat the Cardinals 30-16.
Verdict
Kansas City have made a flying start with Patrick Mahomes back this season, but Mile High has not been a happy hunting ground for him in recent years.
Denver have won the last few meetings at home, are in good form, and they will be motivated by avenging their Week 1 loss, so we are backing the Broncos in this one.
Denver have won the last few meetings at home, are in good form, and they will be motivated by avenging their Week 1 loss, so we are backing the Broncos in this one.
Leigh Copson
Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.
During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.
He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.