Flames at Ducks Predictions & Picks – Carlsson and the Ducks Bury Winless Calgary
I'm taking the Anaheim Ducks -1.5 at home against Calgary on Tuesday, Oct. 13, at 9:45 p.m. ET. I'm adding Leo Carlsson over 1.5 points at plus money.
The Ducks are too short on the moneyline for a team this good against a team this bad. Calgary hasn't just lost five games. It has lost every one by at least 2 goals, and four of them by 3 or more.
Anaheim's power play is the other half. It has scored on 6 of 16 chances, and Carlsson has a point on every one of those goals.
Key Stats
- 5 of 5 Calgary losses have been by 2+ goals
- Anaheim have scored first in all of their games, while Calgary conceded first in 4 of 5
- Leo Carlsson has a point on every one of the Ducks power-play goals
- 3 of 5 Carlsson games with 2+ points
Head to Head
Anaheim has won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Last season's wins were all one-goal games that went past regulation, so the puck line isn't a lock. Saturday was different. The Ducks won 4-2 in Calgary without needing an empty net, and that was on the second night of a back-to-back.
Anaheim Ducks Form
Anaheim is 4-1 and scoring 3.6 goals a game. The power play is converting at 37.5%, third-best in the league, and Carlsson is the man running it. He has 8 points, 7 of them assists, and averages almost 20 minutes a night. He has 0.8 shots per game, so he's a passer first. That's exactly why the points market suits him.
Cutter Gauthier (upper body) and Ryan Poehling (lower body) are day-to-day after Saturday. Gauthier scored two of those power-play goals off Carlsson passes, so watch the lineup. Even without him, the puck still goes through Carlsson.
Calgary Flames Form
Calgary is 0-5 and has been outscored 27-8. The Flames concede 28.6 shots a game, and their goalies are stopping just 82% of them. The penalty kill has been the one bright spot, allowing 2 goals on 15 chances. But 25 of the 27 goals against have come outside the penalty kill, and Calgary can't win 5-on-5 against anyone right now.
Jonathan Huberdeau and Sam Honzek are both out.