Islanders vs Sharks Predictions & Picks - Two Cold Offenses Need Overtime
- Tip: Regulation tie between Islanders and Sharks, plus Celebrini over 4.5 shots.
- Both teams struggle to score and frequently play close games.
- Celebrini has 5+ shots in 9 of 17 games; line-ups and starters not confirmed.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Islanders vs Sharks Expert Predictions & Picks
I'm taking the regulation tie in San Jose on Monday, Nov. 9, at 10 p.m. ET with Macklin Celebrini over 4.5 shots on goal as the top player prop.
This is two struggling teams that can't score. The Islanders rank 21st in scoring and 29th on the power play. San Jose ranks 30th in scoring and has lost 5 straight. Both clubs live in close games, which is why I'm betting on 60 minutes settling nothing.
The Islanders have gone past regulation in 5 of 16 games and the Sharks in 6 of 19. That's 31% combined, against 22% across the league. Both meetings last season were one-goal games, and one needed overtime.
Celebrini has 5+ shots in 9 of 17 games, and the 2.70 price implies 37%. He played 28 minutes on Saturday with 8 minutes on the power play.
Key Stats
- Celebrini has 6 shots in each of his last two games and a 3-game point streak
- The Islanders and Sharks have combined for 17 one-goal or overtime games in 35
- San Jose has lost 5 straight with 8 goals scored
- 29th on the power play, the Islanders convert 14.6% of their chances
Head to Head
This is the first meeting this season. Last season, the Islanders won both. They beat the Sharks 4-3 in regulation on Long Island in October 2025 (over 6.5), then 2-1 in overtime in San Jose in March (under 6.5).
New York Islanders Form
The power play is the problem. At 14.6% it can't win close games for them, while the penalty kill ranks fifth at 85.7%. Mathew Barzal and Matias Maccelli made the trip and skated in regular jerseys on Saturday, but neither is cleared yet. Ryan Pulock and Alexander Romanov are out.
Ilya Sorokin (.910) is the expected starter, not confirmed. Victor Eklund has goals in 2 straight.
San Jose Sharks Form
Scoring has dried up for San Jose, with only 8 goals in the 5-game skid. Celebrini is still shooting, though, and Will Smith has a 2-game point streak. Logan Couture, Quentin Musty and Igor Chernyshov are on injured reserve.
Yaroslav Askarov (.885) is the expected starter, not confirmed. The real risk is a late empty-netter, since a one-goal game in the final minutes can still end in regulation.
Verdict
Two cold offenses, two goalies with something to prove and a long history of coin-flip games. Give me the tie after 60 and Celebrini to keep shooting.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.