Sharks vs Wild Predictions & Picks - Minnesota Wins This One Going Away
- Minnesota Wild -1.5 puckline is the main tip against San Jose Sharks.
- Minnesota has the league's best defence and wins by 2+ goals in most games.
- Kaprizov is a value pick to score, with 15 goals in 17 games and a six-game point streak.
Sharks vs Wild Expert Predictions & Picks
The Minnesota Wild puckline -1.5 is the main pick at home against San Jose on Friday, Nov. 6, at 8 p.m. ET while Kirill Kaprizov to score a goal is still a value play given his form.
Minnesota is 11-3-3 with the best goals against in the league at 2.24 a game. San Jose ranks 29th in scoring at 2.59 and 28th in goals against at 3.59. The Sharks have lost 4 of 5, with 7 goals for and 18 against, including a 7-2 loss to the Kings on Wednesday.
Before I bet any puck line, I check it against our NHL puck line betting stats. Minnesota passes the test with 9 of its 11 wins having come by 2+ goals, against 57% of winners league-wide last season. At the price of 2.23, I'll take it.
Kaprizov has 15 goals and has scored in 11 of 17 games, while the 1.95 price implies about 51%. He's on a 6-game point streak and plays about 22 minutes a night on the top power play.
Key Stats
- Minnesota has won 9 of its 11 games by 2+ goals
- San Jose has failed to cover the puck line in 5 straight games
- Kaprizov has 15 goals in 17 games and a 6-game point streak
- 13 of the Sharks' 17 games have seen them concede first
Head to Head
This is the first meeting this season.
Last season belonged to San Jose. The Sharks won all three games, and every one went past regulation: 6-5 in overtime in Minnesota in October 2025, 2-1 in overtime in Minnesota in November and 4-3 in a shootout in San Jose on New Year's Eve.
San Jose Sharks Form
The defense is the problem. San Jose allows 30.2 shots a game, 29th in the NHL, and has conceded first in 13 of 17. Logan Couture, Quentin Musty and Igor Chernyshov are on injured reserve.
Yaroslav Askarov (.888) is projected, not confirmed, after allowing 7 goals in Los Angeles. Alex Nedeljkovic (.899) is in the mix. Macklin Celebrini is the threat, with 5+ shots in 7 of his 15 games.
Minnesota Wild Form
Goaltending sets the tone. Jesper Wallstedt is 10-2-3 with a .920 save percentage and is the projected starter, not confirmed.
Brock Faber and Jared Spurgeon are both out, which thins the blue line. Last season's three overtime games are the real risk to -1.5, but this San Jose team is losing by plenty.
Verdict
Minnesota is the best defensive team in the league and San Jose can't keep the puck out of its own net. Give me the Wild by two and Kaprizov to get one of them. Last season's Sharks took this to overtime every time, and I'm betting this version can't.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.