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Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Betting Picks & Live Stream – Jodar to Finish It Efficiently in Marrakech
- Jodar reaches first tour-level semifinal, moving up the rankings
- Carabelli makes semifinals after three consecutive three-set wins
- Their first meeting could hinge on Carabelli's fatigue vs. Jodar's form
Rafael Jodar plays a shot against Denis Shapovalov in Frisco
(credit: Getty)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has battled through to the semifinals despite clear physical struggles, playing three consecutive three-set matches. With fatigue building up, this could leave him vulnerable at this stage.
Jodar Meets Semifinal Test
- Jodar is 20–2 vs outside Top 50 players this year.
- This is his maiden tour-level semifinal.
- Ugo Carabelli is 0–4 in tour-level semifinals.
- He has won 12 of his last 14 matches vs outside Top 50 players.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Jodar Reaches Maiden Tour Semifinal
Rafael Jodar moved into his maiden tour-level semifinal after Alexandre Muller retired due to illness while trailing by a set and a break. He had earlier defeated Tomas Machac in three sets.
A year ago, he was ranked outside the top 700, but has since made rapid progress. Over the past 12 months, he has reached eight semifinals or better on the Challenger circuit, including three titles.
He has carried that form onto the main tour, reaching the third round in Miami and second round at the Australian Open. He achieved a career-high ranking of No. 89 last week and is set to climb further.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Spain |
| Age | 19 (17 September 2006) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 89 |
| Career High | 89 (30 March 2026) |
| Elo Ranking | 40 (Rating: 1828) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Carabelli Fights Back For Semifinal
Camilo Ugo Carabelli moved into the semifinals with a 0-6, 6-3, 6-2 comeback win over Luca Van Assche. It was his third consecutive three-set victory this week, having also beaten Timofey Skatov and Ignacio Buse.
The Argentine had a mixed start to the season, with his best results coming on South American clay, including a Challenger title in Rosario and a quarterfinal in Buenos Aires.
Carabelli holds a 0-4 record in tour-level semifinals, with three of those losses coming against top-50 opponents. He will now aim to reach his first tour-level final.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Argentina |
| Age | 26 (17 June 1999) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 67 |
| Career High | 43 (18 August 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 91 (Rating: 1719) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Verdict
The physical toll may prove decisive here. Rafael Jodar to win and Jodar to win in straight sets both look well aligned with the current situation.
Rafael Jodar
Match Winner
@-200.00 - 2 Units
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Jodar 2-0
Correct Score
@122.00 - 2 Units
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