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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips – High-Scoring Game 3

  • Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox tips for October 10
  • First pitch for Game of the ALDS is slated for 16:07 ET at Fenway Park
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
    Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
  • Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
  • Head To Head
  • Tampa Bay Rays Form
  • Boston Red Sox Form

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips

Boston can win Game 3 of the ALDS and take a 2-1 lead in the series.

This game should be an exciting and entertaining game as it features two of the majors highest scoring teams in the majors. 

Boston has been “raking at the plate” during the postseason and the Red Sox bullpen has been excellent recently. 

Tampa Bay is one of the most complete teams in the majors with a top 5 offense and a top 5 pitching staff.

There could be lots of offense in this game.

  • Boston has won 6 of 8 games
  • Boston is 7-3 in their last 10 home games
  • The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games and 10-2 in their last 12 playoff games overall
  • The Red Sox are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite
  • The Red Sox have won 9 of Nathan Eovaldi’s last 11 starts
  • Rays are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series
  • The teams have combined to cross the plate 10 or more times in 7 of the 9 9 games at Fenway Park this season
  • Over is 13-2-1 in the last 16 meetings in Boston

Head To Head

The Red Sox set a franchise postseason record with five home runs and rapped 20 hits en route to a 14-6 ALDS  Game 2 victory over the Rays on Friday. The Sox trailed 5-2 after the first frame

Tampa Bay and Boston have split their last eight meetings in the series.

The Rays lead the season-series 12-9, although the Red Sox have won 5 of the 9 matchups at Fenway Park.

Boston has outscored Tampa Bay 14-11 during in the first two games of the ALDS and  118-117 overall this year.

The Red Sox offense has produced 7.0 runs while compiling a slash line of .363/.383/.600 through the first two games of the series.

The Rays’ offense has compiled 5.5 runs while compiling a slash line of .219/..296/.438 through the first two games of the series.

Tampa Bay Rays Form

Tampa Bay is 4-4 in its last eight games, which includes splitting its two postseason games.

The Rays defeated the Red Sox 5-0 at home in Game 1 of the ALDS.

Tampa Bay is 48-33 on the road and 62-35 vs. RHPs.

Right-hander Drew Rasmussen has been spectacular over the last two months, going 4-0 while allowing 8 runs and 29 hits, including 1 home run, while recording 25 strikeouts and 9 walks over 41 innings in 10 appearances (8 starts).

Rasmussen has appeared in one game and thrown one inning in the postseason in his career.

Rasmussen has given up four runs and 13 hits to go along with 5 walks and 14 strikeouts over 15.2 innings against the Red Sox in 5 appearances (3 starts).

LF Randy Arozarena, on a four-game hitting streak, is 2-for-6 with 4 runs scored along with 3 walks, 1 home run and 1 RBI versus Boston this postseason.

SS Wander Franco, on a five-game hitting streak, is 4-for-9 with 2 doubles versus Boston in the past two games.

Boston Red Sox Form

Boston has won two of its three postseason games this year and four of six overall. 

The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 6-2 in the AL Wild Card game on Tuesday before falling to the Rays (5-0) on Thursday.

Boston is 50-32 at Fenway Park and 59-39 vs. RHPs.

Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi picked up a win in the Sox Wild Card victory over the Yankees, limiting New York to four hits and one run in 5.1 innings while also striking out eight. 

Eovaldi is 3-1 in 7 postseason appearances (3 starts) with a 1.63 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP.

Eovaldi has allowed 8 runs on 15 hits, including 3 homers, to go along with 31 strikeouts and 7 walks over 26.1 innings in four starts versus the Rays this year.

LF Alex Verdugo, who has a four-game hit streak, is 6-for-13 with one homer and 5 RBI this postseason.

SS Xander Bogaerts, on a six-game hitting streak, is 6-for-11 with two homers and 4 RBI this postseason.

Boston is averaging 6.6 runs and 2.3 home runs while compiling a slash line of .333/.390/.583 this postseason.

The Red Sox pitchers have a 4.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .208 BAA this postseason.


Eovoldi, who has been fairly consistent this year, was excellent in his last outing against the Yankees in the AL Wild Card game and has been fantastic during the postseason in his career. Eovaldi has pitched fairly well at Fenway this year and has fared well against the Rays’ current lineup over his career.
Offensively, Boston has really been “raking” at the plate and hits really well at Fenway Park.

Tampa Bay enters the game struggling at the plate lately and Rasmussen has not pitched since Sept. 29, so he could be kind of “rusty”.

The teams, who combined to produce average of 11 runs a game during day games this year, rank No. 2 and No. 3 in OPS during day games this year.

Best Bet: Over 8.5 Total Runs @-116.28 at bet365 Sport NJ - 4 Units
Value Bet: Boston Red Sox Moneyline @-111.11 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units


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25 October 2021

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