Our Tip
NHL Shots on Goal Parlay Nov. 10 - Leonard Never Misses
- Tip: Leonard over 1.5, Eriksson Ek over 2.5, DeBrincat over 3.5 shots on goal.
- Leonard has 2+ shots in all 15 games; Eriksson Ek and DeBrincat excel on the road.
- Leonard's ice time and DeBrincat's recent form are minor concerns.
NHL Shots on Goal Parlay Nov. 10
NHL Shots on Goal Parlay for Tonight Nov. 10
I'm building tonight's parlay around three players from three different games who have been steady shooters all season: Ryan Leonard, Joel Eriksson Ek and Alex DeBrincat, all to go over their shots on goal lines. The three legs pay +438 combined at Stake.
Leonard is the anchor. He has 2 or more shots in every one of his 15 games this season.
Eriksson Ek averages 3.75 shots on the road, against a Montreal side that allows 28.3 a game. DeBrincat gets a St. Louis team allowing 28.8 shots a game, and he's had 4 or more in 5 of his 8 road games.
Key Stats
- Leonard has cleared 1.5 shots in all 15 of his games, with 40 shots in total
- Eriksson Ek has 3 or more shots in 13 of 19 games and averages 3:54 of power-play time a night
- St. Louis allow 28.8 shots a game and Montreal allow 28.3, two of the higher marks on tonight's slate
- +438 is the combined price for three players who clear their line in more than half their games
Leg 1: Ryan Leonard Over 1.5 Shots (Capitals vs Senators, 7 p.m. ET)
Leonard's floor is the reason he's here. He's put 2 or more shots on goal in all 15 games, including 3 or 4 in four of his last five. Ottawa allow 27.4 shots a game, and both teams come in after two days off.
The worry is ice time. He plays only 14:04 a night and dropped to 12:18 against Minnesota, and he's played only four road games so far. He still averages 2.75 shots away from home, which leaves room over 1.5.
Leg 2: Joel Eriksson Ek Over 2.5 Shots (Wild vs Canadiens, 7 p.m. ET)
Eriksson Ek is a different player on the road. He averages 3.75 shots away against 2.43 at home, with 4 or more in half of his 12 road games. He plays 19:56 a night, and Montreal give up 28.3 shots a game.
He's had only 2 shots in each of his last two, both at home. His power-play time held up in both games, though, and this one is back on the road.
Leg 3: Alex DeBrincat Over 3.5 Shots (Red Wings vs Blues, 8 p.m. ET)
This is the higher line, and the price reflects it. DeBrincat has 4 or more shots in 10 of his 18 games and 5 of his 8 on the road. St. Louis allow 28.8 shots a game, and he had 5, 4 and 4 in three straight games before his last outing.
He was held to 2 shots in 15:59 at Colorado on Saturday, and Detroit have lost 4 of their last 5. St. Louis also kill 84.4% of penalties, so his power-play shots may be harder to come by. At 2.10 I'm backing his road volume.
Verdict
Leonard clears his low line again, Eriksson Ek gets back to his road numbers in Montreal, and DeBrincat gets to 4 against a St. Louis team that gives up shots.
Jeremy Darke
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst
Jeremy is a sports journalist and analyst covering major US leagues including NBA, NHL and NFL, seeking out player props and value.
From playing rugby, ice hockey, tennis and soccer in his home country of Australia to travelling the world covering US sports, he has found a niche in betting expertise.
His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster here at ExpertPicks.com.