Grizzlies vs Raptors Predictions & Picks - Memphis Hasn't Lost on the Road
- Grizzlies tipped to cover +3.5 at Toronto.
- Memphis is 4-0 on the road and averages 57.7 rebounds.
- Cedric Coward over 6.5 rebounds is also recommended.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Leigh Copson•Updated:
Grizzlies vs Raptors Expert Predictions & Picks
The Memphis Grizzlies are tipped to rebound and cover the +3.5 in Toronto on Monday, Nov. 9, at 7:30 p.m. ET. I'm also adding Cedric Coward over 6.5 rebounds as the player prop.
The Grizzlies have dropped three straight at home, and that's what the market is pricing. On the road, they're 4-0, with wins at Golden State, Sacramento, Utah and Portland.
Memphis ranks eighth in net rating, shoots 37.9% from three and grabs 57.7 rebounds a game. Toronto is shooting 31.5% from deep, and Kawhi Leonard is out. Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley are both game-time calls.
Coward is the prop, and the number looks a rebound too low. He's averaging 8.8 boards and has grabbed at least seven in all eight games he's played.
Key Stats
- Memphis is 4-0 on the road, winning by an average of 10 points
- Toronto shoots 31.5% from three, and Leonard is out
- The Grizzlies average 57.7 rebounds to Toronto's 54.1
- Coward has seven or more rebounds in all eight games
Head to Head
Toronto won both meetings last season, 117-104 at home in November and 128-96 in Memphis in April. Both went under 230.5.
Those Grizzlies won 25 games, though. This version has the eighth-best net rating and a new core, with Cameron Boozer averaging 15.8 points, 10 rebounds and 5.2 assists.
Memphis Grizzlies Form
Turnovers are the worry. Memphis is giving it away 16.7 times a game, and Toronto forces 20.2. That's how the Raptors keep games close without shooting well, and it's the real risk here.
Ty Jerome leads the scoring at 26.6 points a game and dropped 40 on New Orleans. Scotty Pippen Jr., Isaiah Stewart and Richie Saunders are out.
Toronto Raptors Form
The injury report is the story. Leonard (knee) has played just twice, and Barnes (groin) and Quickley (hamstring) both missed Friday's win over Milwaukee.
Toronto still won that one 121-107 behind 27 from RJ Barrett, so it isn't helpless without them. Barrett is averaging 21.6 points. Barnes is at 23.5 when he plays, and his status will move this line.
Verdict
Memphis has been a different team away from home, and Toronto is shooting poorly and missing pieces. I'm taking the points and Coward on the glass. If Memphis protects the ball, this might not even need the 3.5.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.