Spurs vs Suns Predictions & Picks - San Antonio Makes It Nine Straight
- San Antonio Spurs -8.5 and Wembanyama over 11.5 rebounds are the main tips.
- Spurs have won eight straight and dominate the rebounding battle.
- Phoenix ranks 27th in defence and allows the fifth-most rebounds to centres.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Leigh Copson•Updated:
Spurs vs Suns Expert Predictions & Picks
Can anybody stop Victor Wembanyama? Over 11.5 rebounds for the big French man is the top player prop and I'm also taking the San Antonio Spurs -8.5 in Phoenix on Monday, Nov. 9, at 9:00 p.m. ET.
The Spurs have won eight straight. They rank third in net rating and fourth in defensive rating, and they're 4-0 on the road with wins by 16, 6, 15 and 22.
Phoenix is 3-5 with the 27th-ranked defense, and it's grabbing just 46.9 rebounds a game to San Antonio's 57.9.
That glass gap is where the prop comes from. Wembanyama is averaging 12 rebounds and has gone over 11.5 in 6 of 10 games. Phoenix gives up 12.1 rebounds a game to centers, the fifth-most in the league, and Mark Williams is out.
Key Stats
- San Antonio has won eight straight and is 4-0 on the road
- The Suns rank 27th in defensive rating and 23rd in net rating
- Phoenix averages 46.9 rebounds to the Spurs' 57.9
- Wembanyama has topped 11.5 rebounds in 6 of 10 games
Head to Head
The teams split four meetings last season, and the home team won all four. Phoenix won 130-118 and 111-102 at home, and the Spurs won 121-94 at Moody Center and 101-100 at Frost Bank Center.
Three of the four stayed under 228.5. Wembanyama went for 34 points and 12 rebounds in the last one.
San Antonio Spurs Form
The defense travels. San Antonio is allowing 108.1 points a game and has held five of its eight straight wins to 109 or fewer.
Wembanyama is averaging 29.1 points and dropped 52 and 24 on Dallas last week. Dylan Harper adds 18.1 points a game. The Spurs played in Portland on Saturday, but they're 3-0 on the second night of back-to-backs, so fatigue hasn't been an issue. Jayden Quaintance is out.
Phoenix Suns Form
Devin Booker is doing everything. He's averaging 25.2 points and has 30 or more in two of his last three. Miles Bridges adds 16.9 points and 8.1 rebounds.
The Suns have won two straight at home, beating Orlando and Houston, but they're 0-3 on the road and allowing 118.6 points a game. Phoenix also plays the Clippers tomorrow night.
Verdict
San Antonio is the best team on the floor by a distance, and Phoenix can't keep it off the glass. I'm laying the 8.5 and taking Wembanyama to clean up. Nine straight sounds about right.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.