Maple Leafs vs Kraken Predictions & Picks - Nylander Goes for 3 Straight
- Tip: William Nylander to score and over 6.5 goals in Maple Leafs vs Kraken.
- Both teams' games have reached 7+ goals frequently this season.
- Goaltending is a concern, and Toronto's power play faces a weak Kraken penalty kill.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:

Maple Leafs vs Kraken Expert Predictions & Picks
I'm loving William Nylander to score in this one tonight against the Kraken and I'm also taking over 6.5 goals with Toronto in Seattle on Wednesday, Oct. 28, at 10 p.m. ET.
Both teams make a habit of busy nights. Toronto's games have reached 7+ goals in 9 of 14, and Seattle's have done it in 9 of 12. Neither goaltending group inspires much confidence, the stats show that every goalie who has started for either team sits at .907 or worse, and Joey Daccord is at .882. Toronto's power play converts at 28.9%, and Seattle's penalty kill sits at 70.6%.
Nylander has scored in 2 straight, with 4 goals in his last 5 games, and he has 7 power-play points. He's scored in 6 of 14 games, a touch above the 40% implied by 2.50, and we know what we do when the numbers tell us to play.
Key Stats
- Toronto and Seattle have combined for 7+ goals in 18 of their 26 games
- Nylander has 4 goals in his last 5 games and 41 shots on the season
- Seattle has allowed 36 shots in each of its last 2 games
- 28.9% is Toronto's power-play rate against a Kraken penalty kill at 70.6%
Head to Head
This is the first meeting of the season. Seattle won both meetings last year, 4-3 in overtime in Toronto and 5-2 at home in January. Both games finished with 7 goals, so the over cashed each time.
Toronto Maple Leafs Form
This is the third stop on a road trip that has been all or nothing, with a 7-2 win in Edmonton and a 5-2 loss in Calgary. Auston Matthews leads the team with 20 points, one more than Nylander.
Kirill Marchenko left Monday's game with a lower-body injury and is day to day, which would thin the power play. John Tavares is out. The one thing working against the over is Toronto's penalty kill, the best in the league at 93.6%.
Seattle Kraken Form
Seattle has had 3 days off since a 5-1 home loss to Minnesota. Jared McCann is out for about 10 weeks, so Kaapo Kakko, the team's points leader, moves up to the top line with Matty Beniers and Jordan Eberle.
Philipp Grubauer is the projected starter. Brandon Montour has a point in 3 straight from the back end.
Verdict
Shaky goaltending on both sides and Toronto's power play against a soft penalty kill. Give me the goals, and Nylander to make it 3 straight.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.