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Ducks vs Flames Picks & Predictions - Ducks to Bury Flames
- Anaheim Ducks are recommended to cover the -1.5 puck line against Calgary Flames on Oct. 13.
- Leo Carlsson is highlighted as a pick to record over 1.5 points, being key on the Ducks' power play.
- Calgary has lost all five games by at least two goals and continues to struggle both offensively and defensively.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Flames at Ducks Predictions & Picks – Carlsson and the Ducks Bury Winless Calgary
I'm taking the Anaheim Ducks -1.5 at home against Calgary on Tuesday, Oct. 13, at 9:45 p.m. ET. I'm adding Leo Carlsson over 1.5 points at plus money.
The Ducks are too short on the moneyline for a team this good against a team this bad. Calgary hasn't just lost five games. It has lost every one by at least 2 goals, and four of them by 3 or more.
Anaheim's power play is the other half. It has scored on 6 of 16 chances, and Carlsson has a point on every one of those goals.
Key Stats
- 5 of 5 Calgary losses have been by 2+ goals
- Anaheim have scored first in all of their games, while Calgary conceded first in 4 of 5
- Leo Carlsson has a point on every one of the Ducks power-play goals
- 3 of 5 Carlsson games with 2+ points
Head to Head
Anaheim has won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Last season's wins were all one-goal games that went past regulation, so the puck line isn't a lock. Saturday was different. The Ducks won 4-2 in Calgary without needing an empty net, and that was on the second night of a back-to-back.
Anaheim Ducks Form
Anaheim is 4-1 and scoring 3.6 goals a game. The power play is converting at 37.5%, third-best in the league, and Carlsson is the man running it. He has 8 points, 7 of them assists, and averages almost 20 minutes a night. He has 0.8 shots per game, so he's a passer first. That's exactly why the points market suits him.
Cutter Gauthier (upper body) and Ryan Poehling (lower body) are day-to-day after Saturday. Gauthier scored two of those power-play goals off Carlsson passes, so watch the lineup. Even without him, the puck still goes through Carlsson.
Calgary Flames Form
Calgary is 0-5 and has been outscored 27-8. The Flames concede 28.6 shots a game, and their goalies are stopping just 82% of them. The penalty kill has been the one bright spot, allowing 2 goals on 15 chances. But 25 of the 27 goals against have come outside the penalty kill, and Calgary can't win 5-on-5 against anyone right now.
Jonathan Huberdeau and Sam Honzek are both out.
Verdict
Take the Ducks on the puckline and Leo Carlsson to grab 2+ pts
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.