Home / NHL / Flyers vs Red Wings Predictions & Picks - Philly's Offense Stays Stuck in Detroit
Flyers vs Red Wings Predictions & Picks - Philly's Offense Stays Stuck in Detroit
- Prediction: Flyers team total under 2.5 goals, DeBrincat over 3.5 shots on goal.
- Flyers have scored 10 goals in 8 games, with multiple players injured.
- Detroit outshoots opponents, and DeBrincat is their primary shooter.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Flyers vs Red Wings Predictions & Picks
Flyers vs Red Wings Expert Predictions & Picks
I'm taking the Philadelphia Flyers team total under 2.5 goals when they visit Detroit on Thursday, Oct. 15, at 7:30 p.m. ET. I'm adding Alex DeBrincat over 3.5 shots on goal.
The Flyers are 0-5-3, the worst start in franchise history. They've scored 10 goals in 8 games and haven't topped 2 once. Yet the book is paying plus money for them to stay at 2 or fewer.
The other side of that is volume. Philadelphia gets outshot by almost 14 a night, and DeBrincat is Detroit's main shooter.
Key Stats
- Philadelphia has been held to 1 goal or fewer in 5 of 8 games
- Only 20.8 shots per game for the Flyers, the fewest in the NHL
- The Flyers' power play is 2 for 24 this season
- 13 shots on goal for DeBrincat in his last 2 games
Head to Head
Detroit has won the last 2 meetings, and the home team has won 9 of the last 11 in this series. Thursday is the first meeting this season.
Philadelphia Flyers Form
Philadelphia has lost 12 straight dating back to last season. Tuesday's 3-2 shootout loss to Seattle was the closest it has come, and Trevor Zegras scored both goals. Even on a good night, that's still 2.
The power play is converting at 8.3%, so there's no help there. The injuries make it worse. Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen and Nikita Grebenkin are out, and Cam York is ruled out for Thursday. Dan Vladar is the projected starter at .875.
Detroit Red Wings Form
Detroit is 1-3-2 and on a three-game skid. The Red Wings aren't scoring at will either, with 2.33 goals per game. But they do get the puck to the net, averaging 31.8 shots per game.
DeBrincat is the man who takes most of them. He has 8 points and 24 shots in 6 games, and he had 2 goals and 6 shots in Tuesday's 5-4 overtime loss to New Jersey. Marco Kasper, Mason Appleton and Simon Edvinsson are out.
The Red Wings' penalty kill is 66.7%, the one real risk for the under. But Philly's power play hasn't been able to punish anyone yet.
Verdict
I don't need Detroit to play well here. I need Philadelphia to keep being Philadelphia. Give me the Flyers under 2.5 at plus money, and give me DeBrincat shooting at a team that allows more shots than anyone in the league.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.