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Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction and Pick - ExpertPicks
- Dallas Stars' strong defence and Oettinger's goaltending have kept all games under six goals this season.
- Winnipeg Jets are missing key players Hellebuyck and Morrissey, weakening their attack and defence.
- A low-scoring contest is expected, with a slight edge to the Dallas Stars.
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks - Oettinger and a Stingy Stars Defence Keep It Tight
Every one of Dallas' nine games has finished with five goals or fewer, and Winnipeg arrive having scored three in their last two.
The Winnipeg Jets visit the Dallas Stars at 8 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. My Jets vs Stars prediction is built on the under, with Dallas allowing 1.67 goals per game and Jake Oettinger stopping .945 of the shots he's faced.
Winnipeg are without Connor Hellebuyck and Josh Morrissey, so their best goalie and best defenceman are both missing. Seven of their nine games have been decided by one goal, and Dallas' 90.6% penalty kill takes away the Jets' 26.1% power play as a way to blow a tight game open.
Dallas have won four straight against Winnipeg and three in a row this season. The Stars at 1.49 is short for a team scoring 2.56 a game, but with a backup in the Jets' net it's a price I'll take, and no shorter.
Jason Robertson has three or more shots in six of his last seven games, and Winnipeg give up 29.1 a game. He's the shooter on a top line that has Dallas' scoring running through it.
For more player bets, check out our Best NHL Props for tonight's hockey slate.
Key Stats and Trends
- Dallas have three shutouts in nine games.
- Winnipeg have gone over 5.5 goals in only four of their nine games.
- Mikko Rantanen has nine points during a four-game point streak against Winnipeg.
- Robertson has nine points in his last seven games.
Jets Form
Winnipeg are 4-3-2 and have lost three straight, all by one goal.
Tuesday's 2-1 loss in St. Louis came after Cole Perfetti tied it 32 seconds into the third, only for Philip Broberg to win it on the power play. Saturday's 3-2 home loss to Carolina followed the same script, with Nikolaj Ehlers scoring on a third-period power play after the Jets had led 2-1.
Brayden Yager makes his season debut alongside Adam Lowry, according to the Jets' game-day notes, while Neal Pionk carries the top pair without Morrissey. Hellebuyck remains suspended until Friday, so Skinner (.910) is listed first, and a Stevenson start (.893) only strengthens the Dallas side.
Stars Form
Dallas allow just 22.3 shots per game, which is the base for everything Oettinger is doing.
Tuesday's 3-2 overtime win over Boston was a Rantanen hat trick, capped by the winner on the power play. Saturday's 4-0 win in Chicago had Arttu Hyry scoring twice and Dallas outshooting the Blackhawks 32-19.
Esa Lindell is out a week or more, per the Stars' game-day guide, so Capobianco steps in and the blue line loses its best shutdown option. Oettinger has started seven of nine, and if Casey DeSmith (.925) gets the nod the under still holds.
Verdict
Dallas' defence and a Winnipeg team missing its goalie point to a low-scoring Stars win.
Jeremy Darke
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Writer & Expert Betting Analyst
Jeremy is a sports journalist and analyst covering major US leagues including NBA, NHL and NFL, seeking out player props and value.
From playing rugby, ice hockey, tennis and soccer in his home country of Australia to travelling the world covering US sports, he has found a niche in betting expertise.
His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster here at ExpertPicks.com.