Wild vs Canadiens Predictions & Picks - Montreal Drags Another One to Overtime
- Regulation tie is tipped for Wild vs Canadiens, based on frequent overtime games.
- Shabanov anytime goal is also selected, with goals in his last two matches.
- Starting goalies are projected but not confirmed for either team.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Wild vs Canadiens Expert Predictions & Picks
Another regulation tie is the play in Montreal on Tuesday, Nov. 10, at 7 p.m. ET and for the player prop I'm adding Maxim Shabanov anytime goal for a third straight game.
The tie hit for me last night in San Jose, and this one sets up better. Montreal has gone past regulation in 7 of 17 games and 5 of 9 at home. Minnesota has done it 4 times in 19, and lost all four.
That's 11 of 36 combined, or 31%, against 22% across the league. These teams have played 18 one-goal or overtime games in 36, against 41% league-wide. Both meetings last season were decided by one goal, and one went to overtime.
Shabanov has goals in 7 of 18 games (39%), and the 4.20 price implies 24%. He shares the Wild lead with 5 power-play goals and gets 4 to 6 minutes a night on the man advantage.
Key Stats
- Shabanov has 3 goals in his last two games, 2 of them on Saturday
- Montreal has needed overtime or a shootout in 7 of 17 games
- The Wild allow 2.26 goals a game, the fewest in the league
- 28th on the power play, the Canadiens convert 15.4% of their chances
Head to Head
This is the first meeting this season, but last season was all coin flips. Montreal won 4-3 in regulation at home in January (over 6.5), and Minnesota won 4-3 in overtime at home in February (over 6.5, past regulation).
Minnesota Wild Form
Defense first, as always. Minnesota allows a league-low 2.26 goals and 25.6 shots a game, without Brock Faber and Jared Spurgeon. Kirill Kaprizov, Quinn Hughes and Joel Eriksson Ek all carry 8-game point streaks.
Jesper Wallstedt (.922) is the projected starter, not confirmed. The real risk is the road record: Minnesota has gone past regulation only twice in 12 away games.
Montreal Canadiens Form
Montreal keeps winning without a power play. It ranks 28th, yet the Canadiens are 11-3-3 and have won 6 of their last 7. Ivan Demidov and Mike Matheson are out.
Jacob Fowler (.926) is the projected starter, not confirmed, though Jakub Dobes is also in the mix. Lane Hutson has a 5-game point streak with 7 assists in that run.
Verdict
The best defense in the league against a team that lives in overtime. Give me the tie after 60 and Shabanov to make it three straight. The tie cashed last night, so I'm now unbearable about overtime.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.