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Home / MLB / Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Picks & Betting Tips – Atlanta To Win World Series Opener

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Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Picks & Betting Tips – Atlanta To Win World Series Opener

Quick Read

  • Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Picks & Betting Tips for Tuesday, Oct. 26
  • First Pitch is slated for 20:09 ET at Minute Maid Park
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Written by Daniel Benjamin
Updated: Jul 11, 2022
Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Picks & Betting Tips – Atlanta To Win World Series Opener

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros Picks & Betting Tips


Atlanta can win Game 1 of the World Series.

Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the ball for Braves while Lefty Frember Valdez will “toe the rubber” for the Astros.

Morton has been the more consistent pitcher this entire season and has pitched well on the road, so the Braves are tipped to draw first blood.

  • Houston has the top hitting team in the majors and the No.7 pitching staff
  • Atlanta’s offense ranks No. 8 as does its pitching staff
  • Atlanta is 15-4 in its last 19 games
  • The Braves are 9-4 in its last 13 road contests
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games between Braves and Astros in Houston
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Mortons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 interleague game

Head to Head 


  • Atlanta and Houston have not faced each other since 2017
  • The Astros have won five straight and 6 of 10

Atlanta Braves Form


Atlanta is making its first World Series appearance since 1999. The Braves have a one World Series championship in five appearances since the franchise moved to Atlanta.

Atlanta has split its last four games and is 7-3 in the postseason, including going 2-2 on the road. They have outscored their opponents 40-33 in the 10 games.

Atlanta defeated Milwaukee 3-1 in the NLDS. The Braves began the postseason with a 2-1 loss at Milwaukee in Game 1. However, the Braves bounced back to win Game 2 and Game 3 by identical 3-0 scores. Atlanta closed out the series with a 5-4 victory in Game 4.

Atlanta defeated Los Angeles 4-2 in the NLCS. The Braves got off to a 2-0 series lead as they Game 1 (3-2) and Game 2 (5-4). The Braves dropped Game 3 at Dodger Stadium 6-5 but bounced back in Game 4 with a 9-2 victory. The Braves lost Game 5 (9-2), however, they closed out series with a 4-2 win in Game 6. 

Right-hander Charlie Morton is making his fourth postseason start. The 37-year-old struggled in his last outing against Los Angeles on Oct. 19 as he allowed three hits and two runs as well as six walks and five strikeouts.

Morton, who is 7-4 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 16 career postseason starts, has allowed 10 hits – including 2 home runs --and 6 runs to go along with 8 walks and 19 strikeouts over 14.1 innings in his playoff starts this year. 

Atlanta’s offense averages 4.0 runs with a slash line of .250./319/.407 in 9 games this postseason.

The Braves’ pitching staff has compiled a 3.41 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and .234 BAA in the playoffs.
RF Joc Pederson is hitting .276/.323/.586 this postseason.

1B Freddie Freeman is hitting .294/.455/.6.18 this postseason.

LF Eddie Rosario, the NLCS MVP, has a hit in all 10 games of the playoffs. He has a postseason slash line of .474/.524/.789.

Houston Astros Form


Houston is in the World Series for the third time since moving to the AL and the fourth occasion overall. The Astros have one title in their previous three appearances.

Houston is on a three-game winning streak and has a 7-3 postseason record, which includes going 4-1 at home.

Houston defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-1 in the ALDS with all three victories coming by at least five runs. The Astros took Game 1 (6-1) and Game 2 (9-4) at home. They fell on the road to the White Sox 12-6 in Game 3 before taking Game 4 (10-1).

Houston then defeated Boston 4-2 in the ALCS. The Astros and the Red Sox split the first two games at Minute Maid Park with Houston taking Game 1 (5-4) and Boston taking Game 2 (9-5). The Astros dropped Game 3 12-3 at Fenway but they won the final three contests, closing the series out at home. Houston outscored Boston 23-3 over the last three games.

Left-hander Frember Valdez is also making his fourth postseason start. The 27-year-old is coming off his best performance of playoffs, holding the Red Sox to one run on three hits while walking one and striking out five.

Valdez, who is 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in seven postseason appearances, has allowed 15 hits – including 2 homers – and 8 runs to go along with 5 walks and 13 strikeouts over 15 playoff innings this year.

Houston’s offense averages 6.7 runs with a slash line of .281/ .353/.443 this postseason.

The Astros’ pitching staff has compiled a 4.50 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and .245 BAA in the postseason.

LF Michael Brantley, on a five-game hitting streak, is hitting .311/.311/.356.

DH Yordan Alvarez, the NLDS MVP, is on a six-game hitting streak. Alvarez has a slash line of .441/.535/.794.

1B Yuli Gurriel, on a seven-game hitting streak, has a slash line of .333/.381/.436 this postseason.

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