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Home / MLB / Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves World Series Picks & Betting Tips – Back The Under In Game 4

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Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves World Series Picks & Betting Tips – Back The Under In Game 4

Quick Read

  • Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves tips for Saturday, October 30
  • First Pitch is slated for 20:09 ET at Truist Park
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Written by Daniel Benjamin
Updated: Jul 11, 2022
Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves World Series Picks & Betting Tips – Back The Under In Game 4

Houston Astros at Atlanta Braves Picks & Betting Tips


Don’t Expect a lot of runs in Game 4.

Houston will send right-hander Zack Greinke to the mound while Atlanta has yet to name a starter.

  • Atlanta has won eight straight at home
  • The Braves are 8-3 against the Astros in their last 11 games in Atlanta
  • Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous gam
  • Under is 6-0-2 in Braves last 8 interleague games
  • Under is 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 playoff games

Head to Head 


  • Ian Anderson and four Braves relievers combined to two-hit the Astros as Atlanta took a 2-1 lead in the series with a 2-0 victory on Friday
  • Travis d’Arnaud, who hit a solo home run in the eighth, went 2-for-4 to lead a six-hit attack for the Braves  
  • Atlanta has outscored 10- 9 in the series
  • The Astros have compiled a slash line of .198/.278/.292 in the World Series
  • The Braves have compiled a slash line of .245/.310/.412 in the World Series

Houston Astros Form


Houston’s 2-0 loss to Atlanta on Friday was its second in the last three games.

The Astros have an 8-5 record this postseason record, which includes going 3-3 on the road.

Houston defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-1 the ALDS with all three victories coming by at least five runs.

Houston then defeated Boston 4-2 in the ALCS. The Astros and the Red Sox split the first two games at Minute Maid Park with Houston taking Game 1 (5-4) and Boston taking Game 2 (9-5). The Astros dropped Game 3 12-3 at Fenway but they won the final three contests, closing the series out at home. Houston outscored Boston 23-3 over the last three games.

Houston split the first two games of the World Series at home. The Astros lost to the Braves 6-2 in Game 1 but bounced back to win Game 2 (7-2).

Right-hander Zack Greinke makes his third postseason appearance and second start.

Greinke lasted just 1.1 innings in his last outing – a start --- as he allowed two runs on 1 hit (home run) and walked 3 in a 9-2 victory over Boston on Oct. 19.

Greinke, 4-6 with a 4.29 ERA in 21 career postseason appearances, has allowed 2 runs on 3 hits ton go along with 3 walks and 1 strikeout in 2.1 innings in the playoffs this year.

Houston’s offense averages 5.8 runs with a slash line of .263/ .337/.410 this postseason.

The Astros’ pitching staff has compiled a 4.26 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, and .245 BAA in the postseason.

LF Michael Brantley, who has hit safely in 6 of 7 games,  is 5-for-13 with 2 doubles in the World Series. He is hitting .328/.328/.297 this postseason.

DH Yordan Alvarez is 1-for-8 with 2 runs and 3 walks in the World Series. Alvarez has a postseason slash line of .381/.509/.714.

1B Yuli Gurriel, who had his 9-game hitting streak snapped on Friday, is 3-for-11 with 1 run in the World Series. He has a postseason slash line of .320/.358/.400 this postseason.

RF Kyle Tucker, who has a postseason-high 15 RBI, is 3-for-11 with 1 double in the World Series. Tucker has a postseason slash line of .275/.315/.569.

Atlanta Braves Form


Atlanta has won 4 of 7 games following Friday’s 2-0 victory over Houston.

Atlanta is 9-4 in the postseason, including going 6-0 at home, overall. 

Atlanta defeated Milwaukee 3-1 in the NLDS. The Braves began the postseason with a 2-1 loss at Milwaukee in Game 1. However, the Braves bounced back to win Game 2 and Game 3 by identical 3-0 scores. Atlanta closed out the series with a 5-4 victory in Game 4.

Atlanta defeated Los Angeles 4-2 in the NLCS. The Braves got off to a 2-0 series lead as they Game 1 (3-2) and Game 2 (5-4). The Braves dropped Game 3 at Dodger Stadium 6-5 but bounced back in Game 4 with a 9-2 victory. The Braves lost Game 5 (9-2), however, they closed out series with a 4-2 win in Game 6. 

Atlanta defeated Houston 6-2 in Game 1 at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday and fell to the Astros 7-2 on Wednesday.

Atlanta’s offense averages 3.8 runs with a slash line of .249/.317/.408 this postseason.

The Braves’ pitching staff has compiled a 3.35 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and .221 BAA in the playoffs.

2B Ozzie Albies, who has hit safely in 11 of 12 games, is 3-for-11 with 1 run in the World Series. He has a postseason slash line of .264/.316/.321. 

1B Freddie Freeman, who has hit safely in 6 of his last 7 games, is 3-for-11 with 2 RBI in the World Series. He has a slash line of .289/.421/.533 in the postseason.

LF Eddie Rosario is 3-for-12 with two runs in the World Series. He has a postseason slash line of .420/.473/.680.

C Travis d’Arnaud leads the team in the World Series in hitting, going 5-for-12 with 4 runs along with 2 home runs. He has a postseason slash line of .256/.347/.419.

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