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Home / MLB / Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips – Red Sox To Take 3-1 Series Lead

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Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips – Red Sox To Take 3-1 Series Lead

Quick Read

  • Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox tips for Tuesday, October 19
  • First pitch is slated for 20:08 ET at Fenway Park
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
Written by Daniel Benjamin
Updated: Jul 11, 2022
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips – Red Sox To Take 3-1 Series Lead

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips


Boston can win of the ALCS and take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. 

Both teams’ offenses have have been in really good form lately. Each team ranked in the top 3 of the majors in offense this year. 

Expect a lot of runs in this one once again.

  • Boston is 5-1 in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 4-1 in its last 5 games at home
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings
  • Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall
  • Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite
  • Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 overall
  • Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog
  • Over is 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts as a road underdog

Head to Head 


Boston hit 4 home runs and banged out 11 hits en route to a 12-3 Game 3 victory on Monday to take a 2-1 lead in the series.

Boston has won three of the last four games against Houston but the Red Sox trail in the season series 6-4 overall.

The teams have split the four meetings at Fenway Park.

The Astros have outscored the Red Sox 55-48 this season .

Eight of the 10 games in the series have been decided by three or more runs.

Boston has scored 25 runs on 33 hits, including 15 for extra bases with 9 homers and 6 doubles, while drawing 13 walks and striking out 29 times through the first three games of the ALCS.

Houston has tallied 13 runs on 24 hits, including 4 home runs, with 6 walks and 22 strikeouts through the first three games of the ALCS.

Houston Astros Form


Houston is 4-3 this postseason, including 1-2 on the road.

The Astros have lost three of the last five games and are 8-5 in their last 13.

The ‘Stros are 45-39 on the road this year.

Houston defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-1 in the ALDS with all three victories by at least five runs. The Astros took Game 1 (6-1) and Game 2 (9-4) at home. They fell on the road to the White Sox 12-6 in Game 3 before taking (10-1).

Houston went 1-1 against Boston in at home taking Game 1 (5-4) and losing Game 2 (9-5). The Astros dropped a 12-3 decision to the Red Sox (Game 3) in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park.

Right-hander Zack Greinke is making his first appearance since throwing a scoreless inning out of a bullpen while allowing two hits and recording one strikeout on Oct. 10 against the White Sox.

Greinke is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 20 games (19 starts) career postseason games.

Greinke allowed 7 hits and 4 runs in 3 innings of work while recording 2 strikeouts and 1 walk in his lone start against Boston this year.  

Houston’s offense averages 6.2 runs with a slash line of .271/ .342/.424 in seven games this postseason.

The Astros’ pitching staff has compiled a 8.64 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, and .312 BAA in the postseason.

RF Kyle Tucker, who is 3-for-10 with 1 double and 4  RBI in the ALCS, has compiled a slash line of .296/.321/.600 this postseason

SS Carlos Correa, who is on a three-game hitting streak, is 4-for-12 with 1 home run and 2 runs in the ALCS. He is hitting .360/.448/.560 this postseason.

1B Yuli Gurriel, on a 4-game hitting streak, is 5-for-10 with 2 runs along with 1 home run and 3 RBI in the ALCS. He has compiled a slash line of .296/.321/.407 this postseason

Boston Red Sox Form


Boston has won two straight and is 6-2 this postseason, including 4-0 at home.

The Red Sox are 53-30 at home this season.

Boston started the postseason with a 6-2 home victory over New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card game. 

The Red Sox lost Game 1 of the ALDS in Tampa Bay in 5-0 but they ran off three straight wins. Boston took Game 2 in Tampa (14-6) and then took Game 3 (6-4) as well as Game (6-5) at Fenway Park.

Boston split the first two games of the ALCS, falling to Houston 5-4 in Game 1 before taking Game 2 (9-5). The Red Sox routed the Astros 12-3 in Game 3.

Right-hander Nick Pivetta is making his third postseason (2nd appearance) and first since Oct. 10. 
Pivetta is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA during the postseason as he allowed 7 hits along with 3 runs, including 2 home runs, while walking 3 and striking out 11 in two games versus Tampa Bay.

Pivetta allowed three hits and two runs along with two walks and nine strikeouts in 6 innings of work against Houston this year.

Boston’s offense averages 7.1 runs with a slash line of .317/.374/.567 in eight games this postseason.

The Red Sox pitching staff has compiled a 5.56 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and a .252 BAA this postseason.

3B Rafael Devers, on a 7-game hitting streak, has posted a slash line of .303/.410/.667 and leads the majors with 11 RBI this postseason. He is 4-for-13 with 3 runs and 5 RBI in the ALCS

CF Kiki Hernandez, who has a postseason high 5 home runs, has compiled a slash line of .500/.513/1.028 over his last eight games. He is 8-for-13 with 3 HRs, 4 runs, and 3 RBI in the ALCS.

DH JD Martinez, who is 4-for-11 with 2 home runs and 6 RBI in the ALCS, has compiled a slash line of .423/.464/.846 this postseason.

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