Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Picks & Betting Tips
Boston can win Game 5 of the ALCS and take a 3-2 lead in the series.
This pitching matchup of Chris Sale and Frember Valdez is a rematch of last Friday’s game, which Houston won 5-4.
Expect a lot of runs in this one.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff home games
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite
- Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite
- Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games
- Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston
Head to Head
Trailing 2-1, Houston erupted for eight runs – including seven in the ninth inning -- in its final two at-bats to knot the ALCS series at 2-2 with a 9-2 victory. The Astros out-hit the Red Sox 12-5 for the game.
- The teams have split the last six matchups
- Houston leads the season series, which includes winning three of five at Fenway Park
- The Astros have outscored the Red Sox 64-50 this season
- nine of the 11 games in the series have been decided by three or more runs
- Boston has scored 27 runs on 38 hits, including 18 for extra bases with 10 homers and 7 doubles, while drawing 15 walks and striking out 36 times through the first four games of the ALCS
- Houston has tallied 22 runs on 36 hits, including 6 home runs, with 11 walks and 28 strikeouts through the first four games of the ALCS
Houston Astros Form
Houston is 5-3 this postseason, including 2-2 on the road.
The Astros victory on Tuesday snapped a two-game losing streak and improved their record to 9-5 in their last 14.
The ‘Stros are 46-39 on the road this year.
Houston defeated the Chicago White Sox 3-1 in the ALDS with all three victories by at least five runs. The Astros took Game 1 (6-1) and Game 2 (9-4) at home. They fell on the road to the White Sox 12-6 in Game 3 before taking Game 4 (10-1).
Houston went 1-1 against Boston in at home taking Game 1 (5-4) and losing Game 2 (9-5). The Astros dropped a 12-3 decision to the Red Sox (Game 3) in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. However, they bounced back in Game 4 with a 9-2 victory.
Left-hander Frember Valdez was bombard by Boston in his last start on Oct. 15, lasting just 2.2 innings as he gave up three runs – including one home run – on six hits while walking 3 and recording 2 strikeouts.
Valdez, who is 3-1 in 6 career postseason appearances with a 3.19 ERA, has allowed 7 runs on 13 hits to go along with 4 walks and 8 strikeouts over 7 innings of work in 2 playoff starts this year.
Houston’s offense averages 6.2 runs with a slash line of .271/ .342/.424 in eight games this postseason.
The Astros’ pitching staff has compiled an 5.53 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, and .277 BAA in the postseason.
RF Kyle Tucker, who is 4-for-15 with 1 double and 5 RBI in the ALCS, has a postseason-high 12 RBI and has compiled a slash line of .281/.303/.625
SS Carlos Correa, who is on a four-game hitting streak, is 6-for-17 with 1 home run and 3 runs in the ALCS. He is hitting .367/.441/.567 this postseason.
1B Yuli Gurriel, on a five-game hitting streak, is 6-for-14 with 3 runs along with 1 home run and 3 RBI in the ALCS. He has compiled a slash line of .290/.333/.387 this postseason
Boston Red Sox Form
Boston’s loss on Tuesday snapped a two-game winning streak.
Boston is 6-3 in the postseason, including 4-1 at home.
The Red Sox are 53-31 at home overall this season.
Boston started the postseason with a 6-2 home victory over New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card game.
The Red Sox lost Game 1 of the ALDS in Tampa Bay in 5-0 but they ran off three straight wins. Boston took Game 2 in Tampa (14-6) and then took Game 3 (6-4) as well as Game (6-5) at Fenway Park.
Boston split the first two games of the ALCS, falling to Houston 5-4 in Game 1 before taking Game 2 (9-5). The Red Sox routed the Astros 12-3 in Game 3 but dropped Game 4 at Fenway.
Left-hander Chris Sale permitted five hits and one run over 2.2 innings to go along with one walk and two strikeouts on Oct.15 against Houston.
Sale, 1-2 in 9 career postseason games with a 6.91 ERA, has permitted six runs on nine hits – including one home run – along with two walks and four strikeouts over 3.2 innings in two playoff starts.
Boston’s offense averages 6.5 runs with a slash line of .300/.366/.544 in nine games this postseason.
The Red Sox pitching staff has compiled a 4.66 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and a .232 BAA this postseason.
3B Rafael Devers, on a 8-game hitting streak, has posted a slash line of .297/.409/.662 and leads the majors with 11 RBI this postseason. He is 5-for-17 with 3 runs and 5 RBI in the ALCS
CF Kiki Hernandez, who has a postseason high 5 home runs, has compiled a slash line of .463/.477/.927 over his last nine games. He is 9-for-18 with 3 HRs, 4 runs, and 3 RBI in the ALCS.
DH JD Martinez, who is 4-for-14 with 2 home runs and 6 RBI in the ALCS, has compiled a slash line of .379/.438/.759 this postseason.
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