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Home / MMA / Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Predictions & Picks – Duncan To Spring Upset In UFC Main Event

Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Predictions & Picks – Duncan To Spring Upset In UFC Main Event

Quick Read

  • Christian Leroy Duncan is predicted to defeat Brendan Allen by decision
  • Duncan’s superior striking ability could exploit Allen’s vulnerabilities seen in recent fights
  • If Duncan keeps the fight standing, he has a strong chance of outpointing Allen
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated:
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christian leroy duncan

Christian Leroy Duncan (Getty Images)

Our Tip
Stake.us

Winner

Christian Leroy Duncan

Odds

115.00

Place Bet
Shuffle

Method Of Victory

Duncan by Decision

Odds

450.00

Place Bet

Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Predictions & Picks

Christian Leroy Duncan is tipped to spring an upset in the main event.

Duncan is the better, cleaner striker out of these two men, and that can be the difference against Brendan Allen, who took some damage in his win over Edmen Shahbazyan in June.
  • Christian Leroy Duncan is on a 5-fight win streak
  • 3 of Christian Leroy Duncan’s last 5 wins have been by decision
  • Brendan Allen’s last 2 defeats came in points

Brendan Allen Form

Brendan Allen is the number four ranked middleweight contender with a professional record of 27-7 (6 KOs, 14 Subs).

Allen earned his shot in the UFC with a successful appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series back in July 2019, and raced out of the blocks with four straight wins.

He split the next four, but responded with a career-best surge as he reeled off seven straight victories to climb the rankings.

That red-hot run included four straight submission victories over Krzysztof Jotko, Andre Muniz, Bruno Silva and Paul Craig.

Allen’s run was halted by a unanimous decision defeat to Nassourdine Imavov in September 2025, and several months later he dropped another decision, this time to Anthony Hernandez.

The 30-year-old has not lost since though, sparking his three-game run with a unanimous decision victory over Marvin Vettori.

He then followed that up with a fourth-round stoppage of Reinier de Ridder in October of last year, and a unanimous decision victory over Edmen Shahbazyan back in June.

Christian Leroy Duncan Form

Christian Leroy Duncan is the number 10 ranked middleweight contender with a career record of 15-2 (10 KOs, 1 Subs).

Duncan joined the UFC in March 2023 and enjoyed a successful debut, beating Dusko Todorovic by TKO, only to then drop his next fight with Amen Petrosyan by decision.

He rebounded quickly with a second-round stoppage of Denis Tiuliulin, and then knocked out Claudio Ribeiro in the second round.

The 31-year-old Englishman failed to make it three-in-a-row as he lost a decision to Gregory Rodrigues in July 2024, but he has not tasted defeat since then.

Duncan got back on track with a unanimous decision win over Andrey Pulyaev the following March, and built on that during the second half of 2025.

He knocked out Eryk Anders in the first round, before stopping Marco Tulio in the second round.

‘CLD’ then backed that up with two more wins this year, as he beat both Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision.

Verdict

Brendan Allen won last time out, but he took some punishment in the stand-up and those holes are something that Christian Leroy Duncan can exploit.

If he can prevent Allen from taking this to the mat, he can out-point his opponent with strikes over five rounds to earn a decision.

Stake.us
Top Pick

Christian Leroy Duncan

at Stake.us

Shuffle

Duncan by Decision

at Shuffle

Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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