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Home / NBA / Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Preview & Picks – Take Nuggets & Free Buckets In NBA Playoffs

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Preview & Picks – Take Nuggets & Free Buckets In NBA Playoffs

Quick Read

  • Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets picks for Sunday, May 11
  • NBA Playoff game is taking place at Ball Arena
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated: May 10, 2025
NBA Basketball

(Getty Images)

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets Preview & Picks

Denver are tipped to cover as a betting underdog on their home court.

The Nuggets rarely find themselves as home underdogs, but when they do they deliver as a spread bet, while this Thunder team are yet to cover on the road in the playoffs.

  • Denver Nuggets are 3-1-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home betting underdog
  • Denver Nuggets are 2-0-0 ATS in their last 2 home games against Oklahoma City
  • Oklahoma City Thunder are 0-3-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs so far
  • The Under has cashed in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Denver

Head To Head

  • Oklahoma City Thunder lead the all-time series 120-107
  • Denver Nuggets won 113-104 in overtime when the two teams last met on May 9

Oklahoma City Thunder Form

Oklahoma City go into their second road game of the series looking to knot it up at 2-2 after falling behind again in Game 3.

The Thunder came into this home court advantage, but threatened to blow that in the very first game as they were beaten 121-119 by Denver.

They responded immediately with a record-setting 149-106 victory in Game 2, only to fall behind in the series once again as they lost 113-104 in overtime in Denver on Friday.

Oklahoma City put together a league-best a 68-14 record to finish top of the Western Conference and book their place in the postseason.

The Thunder then continued that dominance in the first round of the playoffs as they beat Memphis 131-80 and 118-99 at home, and 114-108 and 117-115 on the road.

Denver Nuggets Form

Denver enter this matchup knowing that a win here will give them the chance to clinch in Oklahoma City, or at the very least guarantee one more home game.

The Nuggets enjoyed the perfect start to the series as they took down the Thunder, 121-119 in Game 1, only to then suffer a 149-106 blowout loss on Wednesday night.

They rebounded in Game 3 though, restoring their series lead with a 113-104 victory in overtime.

Denver claimed their place in the playoffs with a 50-32 record, but found themselves behind early in the first round of the playoffs as they followed a 112-110 overtime win over LA with 105-102 and 117-83 defeats.

The Nuggets rallied with 101-99 and 131-115 wins over the Clippers, and then bounced back from a 111-105 defeat with a series-clinching 120-101 victory in Game 7.
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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