The New England Patriots are targeting a record-setting seventh Super Bowl victory on Sunday, February 8, and we have picked out our favorite player prop bets for the game against the Seattle Seahawks.
Drake Maye – Under 37.5 Rushing Yards @ -111
Drake Maye has made an impact with his legs during the playoffs so far, rushing for over 60 yards in two of New England’s three previous playoff games. However, in his 20 career starts he has surpassed the 37.5-yard mark just five times, and he is now coming up against a Seahawks defense that is tailor-made to deal with mobile quarterbacks due to its zone coverage scheme. There will be eyes on Maye at all times and that means he may not be able to break off many sizeable runs when the pocket collapses.
Rhamondre Stevenson – Over 51.5 Rushing Yards @ -111
Seattle boast one of the very best run defenses in the entire National Football League, but this number still feels a little low. There are two big reasons for that, with the first being the sheer volume of touches that Rhamondre Stevenson is likely to get. The Patriots have increasingly leaned on Stevenson in the playoffs, and last time out he carried the ball a season-high 25 times. He has been effective too. Stevenson has faced three outstanding defenses during this run, and on each occasion he has surpassed the 51.5-yard mark.
Hunter Henry – Over 37.5 Receiving Yards @ -111
Hunter Henry has been extremely quiet in New England’s last two playoff games, catching three of just five targets for 17 yards, but there are reasons for optimism. Despite a couple of rough games, he has been a key cog for the Patriots’ offense this season. He has averaged 42.6 receiving yards per game, including the postseason, and he has gone over 37.5 yards on 11 occasions. Henry now faces a Seattle defense that gave up 63.5 yards per game to tight ends in the regular season, so we expect the New England man to make his presence known in Santa Clara.
Stefon Diggs – Over 4.5 Receptions @ +100
Stefon Diggs has not made much of an impact during the playoffs, totalling just 73 yards and one touchdown through three games. Much of that has been down to Drake Maye’s need to get the ball to him quickly, resulting in a bunch of short yardage plays with the longest of them being for 14 yards. However, yards do not matter for this bet. Diggs has been targeted consistently and he has been a reliable pair of hands for Maye this season, completing 75% or more of his targets in 15 of his appearances. New England will want to get the ball into the hands of one of their biggest weapons as much as possible, so Diggs should see plenty of looks, even if they do come largely in the quick passing game.
K’Lavon Chaisson – To Record A Sack @ +130
K’Lavon Chaisson has made his presence felt during New England’s run to the Super Bowl, racking up nine quarterback hits and three sacks through three games. He will be a headache for the Seattle offensive line throughout this matchup, and it cannot be ignored that Sam Darnold has been sacked 32 times this season. That means Chaisson will have his opportunities to get to Darnold, and we are backing him to take at least one of them.