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Home / Tennis / Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Backed To Rule The Hangzhou Final

Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Backed To Rule The Hangzhou Final

Quick Read

  • Medvedev leads Rublev 8-2 in H2H meetings
  • Medvedev is in stronger recent form and favored to win
  • Rublev regains confidence but remains the underdog
Tomasz Wilk
Written by Tomasz Wilk
Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist
Updated:
Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev hits a return to Roman Safiullin in HangzhouSource: Getty

Our TipStrong confidence
Stake.com

Match Winner

Daniil Medvedev

Odds

-208.33

Place Bet
Stake.com

Handicap Games

Medvedev -2.5

Odds

-126.58

Place Bet
Both players have built confidence this week, although Medvedev’s stronger recent performances make him the favourite.

Medvedev Brings A Strong Hard-Court Final Record

  • Medvedev has a 15–2 record against players outside the Top 10 in hard-court tour-level finals. 
  • He has won nine of his last 11 matches against fellow compatriots. 
  • Rublev has a 1–1 record in tour-level finals in Asia. 
  • He is currently on an eight-match losing streak against Top 10 players.

HTH - Daniil Medvedev leads 8-2

Year Tournament Round Surface Winner Score
2023 Masters Cup ATP — Indoor Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 6-2
2023 US Open QF Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 6-3, 6-4
2023 Dubai F Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-2
2022 Masters Cup ATP — Indoor Hard Andrey Rublev 6-7(7), 6-3, 7-6(7)
2021 Cincinnati SF Hard Andrey Rublev 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
2021 Australian Open QF Hard Daniil Medvedev 7-5, 6-3, 6-2
2020 US Open QF Hard Daniil Medvedev 7-6(6), 6-3, 7-6(5)
2019 Saint Petersburg QF Indoor Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 7-5
2019 Cincinnati QF Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-3
2016 Budapest Challenger R16 Indoor Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 6-2

Medvedev Seeks To Cap His Hangzhou Revival With Silverware

Daniil Medvedev defeated Roman Safiullin in straight sets to book his place in the final in Hangzhou, winning 7-5, 6-4. He trailed by a break in the second set but quickly bounced back to complete the victory in straight sets. 

The Russian recently suffered a disappointing straight-set loss to Frances Tiafoe at the US Open, but he has rebuilt some much-needed momentum ahead of a demanding schedule in the coming weeks. 

The 30-year-old has endured some disappointing losses in recent months after making a solid start to the season, with all of his last eight defeats coming against lower-ranked opponents. Winning the title would provide another confidence boost, and he will look to make the most of this opportunity. 

Medvedev has a strong record against outside-the-top-10 players in tour-level finals, winning 16 of his 21 such matches, including eight of his last nine. He will look to extend that record this week.

Category Details
Country Russia
Age Born 11 February 1996
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 6
Career High No. 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo Ranking No. 17
Tour-Level Titles 23

Rublev Finds His Rhythm When It Matters Most

After surviving a tough match against Hugo Gaston in the quarterfinals, Andrey Rublev defeated Kyrian Jacquet in straight sets to reach the final this week, winning 7-6, 6-1. He did not face a break point and won 86% of his first-serve points. 

The 28-year-old arrived this week short of confidence and form after failing to win multiple matches in six of his last seven events, which cost him his place in the top 20 in the rankings. 

However, reaching the final this week may not give him a significant rise in the rankings, but it will restore some much-needed confidence and help him reset his season. 

This is his third tour-level final in Asia. He won the title in Hong Kong in 2024 but lost at this stage in Shanghai in 2023. He will be looking for his first hard-court title since last year.

Category Details
Country Russia
Age Born 20 October 1997
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 25
Career High No. 5 (13 September 2021)
Elo Ranking No. 28
Tour-Level Titles 18

Verdict

Rublev has regained some momentum with his run to the final, but Medvedev’s stronger recent performances and overall level in this matchup give him the advantage.

Stake.com
Top Pick

Daniil Medvedev

at Stake.com

-208.33Visit Site
Stake.com

Medvedev -2.5

at Stake.com

-126.58Visit Site
Tomasz Wilk
Tomasz Wilk

Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist

Tomasz Wilk is a tennis analyst and betting strategist with a sharp eye for momentum shifts, underdog value and live markets. His work focuses on delivering actionable insights, match previews, and betting tips across ATP and WTA tours. Combining data and intuition, he aims to help readers stay ahead of the curve in a fast-moving betting landscape.

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