Get Free Alerts

Never miss a tip. Choose your sports and get instant updates.

Football

Football

8 active tips

Basketball

Basketball

1 active tip

Cricket

Cricket

1 active tip

Tennis

Tennis

1 active tip

Esports

Esports

1 active tip

Free forever. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime by leaving the channel.

Home / Tennis / Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev The Pick Against Djokovic in Beijing

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev The Pick Against Djokovic in Beijing

Quick Read

  • Medvedev unbeaten in last 7 matches and strong on hard courts
  • Djokovic has struggled physically, despite historic Beijing success
  • Medvedev is favored to win, potentially in straight sets
Tomasz Wilk
Written by Tomasz Wilk
Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist
Updated:
Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev celebrates after winning the match against Francisco Cerundolo in BeijingSource: Getty

Our Tip
Stake.com

Match Winner

Daniil Medvedev

Odds

-144.93

Place Bet
Stake.com

Handicap Games

Medvedev -2.5

Odds

107.00

Place Bet
Stake.com

Correct Score

Medvedev 2-0

Odds

159.00

Place Bet
Novak Djokovic has spent a lot of energy during his run to the semifinals, needing back-to-back three-set battles in the second and quarterfinal rounds. 

Daniil Medvedev, by contrast, has cruised into the last four without dropping a set and is riding a seven-match winning streak, giving the Russian a clear advantage in terms of both physical freshness and momentum.

Medvedev Looks To Maintain His Winning Momentum

  • Djokovic has a perfect 6–0 record in semifinals in Beijing. 
  • He has a 4–2 record against Top 10 players in 2026. 
  • Medvedev has won all four of his semifinals on hard courts this year. 
  • He is currently on a seven-match winning streak on tour.

HTH - Novak Djokovic leads 10-5

Year Tournament Round Surface Winner Score
2023 US Open F Hard Novak Djokovic 6-3, 7-6(5), 6-3
2023 Dubai SF Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 6-4
2023 Adelaide SF Hard Novak Djokovic 6-3, 6-4
2022 Masters Cup ATP — Indoor Hard Novak Djokovic 6-3, 6-7(2), 7-6(7)
2022 Astana SF Indoor Hard Novak Djokovic 4-6, 7-6(6), 0-0 RET
2021 Paris F Indoor Hard Novak Djokovic 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
2021 US Open F Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 6-4, 6-4
2021 Australian Open F Hard Novak Djokovic 7-5, 6-2, 6-2
2020 Masters Cup ATP — Indoor Hard Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 6-3
2020 ATP Cup — Hard Novak Djokovic 6-1, 5-7, 6-4
2019 Cincinnati SF Hard Daniil Medvedev 3-6, 6-3, 6-3
2019 Monte Carlo QF Clay Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 4-6, 6-2
2019 Australian Open R16 Hard Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-7(5), 6-2, 6-3
2017 Eastbourne SF Grass Novak Djokovic 6-4, 6-4
2017 Davis Cup — Indoor Hard Novak Djokovic 3-6, 6-4, 6-1, 1-0

Novak Djokovic Extends Remarkable Beijing Winning Streak

Novak Djokovic defeated top seed Alexander Zverev from a set down to reach the semifinals in Beijing, winning 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. He lost his serve once and won 81% of his first-serve points during the match. 

This is his first semifinal outside the Grand Slams on tour this year. It is also his seventh consecutive semifinal appearance in Beijing, extending his impressive winning streak at the tournament to 32 matches. 

The Serbian has struggled with recurring fitness issues, making it difficult for him to recover and produce his usual level. Those problems have contributed to early exits at some of the recent events in his limited schedule and recently saw him lose his top-10 status. 

He has played two semifinals on tour earlier this year, defeating Jannik Sinner at the Australian Open before losing to the Italian at the same stage at Wimbledon.

Category Details
Country Serbia
Age Born 22 May 1987
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 11
Career High No. 1 (4 July 2011)
Elo Ranking No. 4
Tour-Level Titles 101

Daniil Medvedev Continues Strong Asian Swing

Daniil Medvedev secured his place in the semifinals after defeating Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3. He fired 10 aces and saved one of the two break points he faced during the match. 

The Russian endured a disappointing North American swing, winning only four matches across the four events he played. However, he bounced back with an impressive start to the Asian swing by winning the title in Hangzhou and reaching the semifinals in Beijing this week. 

The 29-year-old made an impressive start to the season by winning the titles in Brisbane and Dubai and reaching the final in Indian Wells, but his level dropped somewhat in the following months. 

Overall, he has played six semifinals this year and lost only two of them, winning all four of his semifinals on hard courts, highlighting his strong record on the surface.

Category Details
Country Russia
Age Born 11 February 1996
Plays Right-handed
World Ranking No. 6
Career High No. 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo Ranking No. 11
Tour-Level Titles 24

Verdict

Medvedev looks well placed to take advantage of Djokovic's demanding path to the semifinals, and the current price makes him an appealing option. Backing Daniil Medvedev to win, win in straight sets, and cover the -2.5 games handicap.

Stake.com
Top Pick

Daniil Medvedev

at Stake.com

-144.93Visit Site
Stake.com

Medvedev -2.5

at Stake.com

Stake.com

Medvedev 2-0

at Stake.com

Tomasz Wilk
Tomasz Wilk

Tennis Writer • 10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist

Tomasz Wilk is a tennis analyst and betting strategist with a sharp eye for momentum shifts, underdog value and live markets. His work focuses on delivering actionable insights, match previews, and betting tips across ATP and WTA tours. Combining data and intuition, he aims to help readers stay ahead of the curve in a fast-moving betting landscape.

Read More