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Home / Tennis / Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov Betting Picks & Live Stream – Shapovalov Looks to Build on Recent Form in Chengdu

Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov Betting Picks & Live Stream – Shapovalov Looks to Build on Recent Form in Chengdu

Quick Read

  • Players tied 1-1 in previous matches, both going the distance
  • Shapovalov’s recent form gives him a narrow edge
  • Another close and exciting contest expected
Tomasz Wilk
Written by Tomasz Wilk
Tennis Writer10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist
Updated: Sep 23, 2026
Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov reacts against Ben Shelton in Flushing, NY.Source: Getty

Our TipStrong confidence
Stake.com

Match Winner

Denis Shapovalov

Odds

-147.06

Place Bet
Stake.com

Highest Scoring Set Total

Over 10.5

Odds

-163.93

Place Bet
Recent performances have tilted the balance towards Shapovalov, though Griekspoor has shown he can make this a difficult matchup.

Shapovalov Faces A Crucial Opening-Round Test

  • Griekspoor has failed to win a match in nine of his last 13 events. 
  • He has a 5–8 record against Top 50 players in 2026. 
  • Shapovalov has a 9–11 record against players outside the Top 50 this year. 
  • He has an 8–10 record in opening-round matches on tour this year.

HTH - Tied at 1-1

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026Munich1RClayShapovalov Denis6-4, 3-6, 6-2
2024GenevaR16ClayGriekspoor Tallon7-6, 6-7, 6-3

Griekspoor Searches For A Winning Rhythm Again

Tallon Griekspoor registered back-to-back main-draw wins on tour for the first time since February by reaching the fourth round in Montreal, but he suffered an abdominal injury in Cincinnati and then exited in the first round at the US Open the following week. 

The 30-year-old had a solid start to the year, reaching the quarterfinals in Montpellier and Rotterdam and the final in Dubai, but a hamstring injury there significantly halted his progress in the following months. 

He has played 18 events this year and suffered an opening-round exit in seven of them, including four of his last five events. 

Last year, he made his debut here in Chengdu but suffered an opening-round exit against Taro Daniel after leading by a set. He is now looking for a better result this week.

CategoryDetails
CountryNetherlands
AgeBorn 2 July 1996
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 55
Career HighNo. 21 (6 November 2023)
Elo RankingNo. 54
Tour-Level Titles3

Shapovalov Targets A Return To His Chengdu Best

Dennis Shapovalov’s level dropped significantly in the middle of the year, as he won only one match across six tournaments from Madrid to Wimbledon, which pushed him close to the top 70 in the rankings. 

However, the Canadian has regained some momentum by reaching the final in Los Cabos and the third round at the US Open. These results helped him return to the top 50 in the rankings. 

This is his second appearance here in Chengdu. His only previous appearance came in 2019, when he reached the semifinals. He now looks to replicate that result this week.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
AgeBorn 15 April 1999
PlaysLeft-handed
World RankingNo. 50
Career HighNo. 10 (21 September 2020)
Elo RankingNo. 59
Tour-Level Titles4

Verdict

Both previous meetings between the two players have gone the distance, with each winning once. Shapovalov’s current form and recent performances give him the edge, but another closely contested match could be in store.

Stake.com
Top Pick

Denis Shapovalov

at Stake.com

-147.06Visit Site
Stake.com

Over 10.5

at Stake.com

-163.93Visit Site
Tomasz Wilk
Tomasz Wilk

Tennis Writer10+ Years as a Tennis Analyst & Betting Strategist

Tomasz Wilk is a tennis analyst and betting strategist with a sharp eye for momentum shifts, underdog value and live markets. His work focuses on delivering actionable insights, match previews, and betting tips across ATP and WTA tours. Combining data and intuition, he aims to help readers stay ahead of the curve in a fast-moving betting landscape.

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