Ducks vs Oilers Predictions & Picks - The Power Plays Turn This Into a Shootout
- Tip: Over 6.5 goals and McDavid to record 2+ assists in Ducks vs Oilers.
- Both teams have elite power plays and weak penalty kills, driving high scores.
- McDavid has 2+ assists in 9 of his last 16 games; recent meetings have gone over.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Ducks vs Oilers Expert Predictions & Picks
Connor McDavid burnt me last time but i'm taking him to record 2+ assists tonight and the over 6.5 goals in Edmonton on Thursday, Nov. 5, at 8 p.m. ET.
This is the best power play in the league against the third-best and neither team's penalty kill can stop it. Anaheim is 20th on the kill at 74.6% and Edmonton is 21st at 73.9%. The Ducks also allow 3.80 goals a game, 30th in the NHL, and Edmonton leads the league with 4.19 goals a game.
McDavid has a 16-game point streak with 31 assists, and he's had 2+ assists in 9 of those 16 games.
Key Stats
- Edmonton leads the NHL with 4.19 goals a game
- Anaheim's power play is converting at 38%, best in the league
- McDavid has points in all 16 games this season
- 3 of the last 4 meetings have gone over 6.5 goals
Head to Head
Edmonton won the only meeting this season 5-2 in Anaheim on Oct. 7, which went over 6.5.
Last season, the Oilers won 7-4 at home in January and 4-2 at home in March, and Anaheim won 6-5 at home in February. The January and February games both had 11 goals.
Anaheim Ducks Form
Goals against is the issue. Anaheim's three goalies are all below .875, and Lukas Dostal (.872) is the likely starter after Laurent Brossoit played Tuesday. Nothing is confirmed at time of publication and there's also a game in Calgary on Friday.
Cutter Gauthier has goals in 3 straight, including a hat trick on Tuesday which we picked, and 8 of his 10 goals have come on the power play. Over 5.5 has hit in 12 of Anaheim's 15 games.
Edmonton Oilers Form
Zach Hyman and Mattias Janmark are out, and so is goalie Devon Levi. Tristan Jarry (.902) is the projected starter, not confirmed.
Leon Draisaitl has 13 goals, 7 on the power play. There is a small risk that this turns into a low-event night, 2 of Edmonton's 8 home games finished with only 4 goals. But the trends point over.
Verdict
Two leaky penalty kills and two power plays that cash in make this the easiest over on the board. Give me 7 or more and McDavid setting up two of them.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.