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Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Targets a Convincing Win at the US Open

  • Medvedev has a stellar US Open record (1 title, 2 finals)
  • Rinderknech struggles against top-10 Grand Slam opposition
  • Recommendation: Back Medvedev to cover -4.5 games & -1.5 sets
James Smith
By James Smith •
Updated:
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Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev reacts against Sebastian Gorzny in Flushing, NYSource: Getty

Daniil Medvedev has tremendous pedigree at the US Open, having won the title here once and also finished runner-up twice. 

With such a strong record at this venue, this looks like an ideal setting for him to rediscover his best tennis and potentially improve as the tournament progresses.

A Familiar Stage for Medvedev in New York

  • Medvedev has a 6–1 record in third-round matches at the US Open. 
  • He has a 30–11 record against players outside the Top 20 this year. 
  • Rinderknech has a 1–3 record in third-round matches at Grand Slam tournaments. 
  • He has a 1–7 career record against Top 10 players at Grand Slam tournaments.

HTH - Tied at 1-1

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025ShanghaiSFHardRinderknech4-6, 6-2, 6-4
2022US Open2RHardMedvedev6-2, 7-5, 6-3

Medvedev Builds Confidence After a Difficult Swing

Daniil Medvedev defeated Sebastian Gorzny in straight sets to reach the third round at the US Open, winning 6-1, 6-3, 7-5. He served 14 aces and won an impressive 87 percent of points behind his first serve. 

This marks his first back-to-back wins of the North American swing this year. He had won only one match across his previous three events, including opening-round losses in Montreal and Winston-Salem. 

The 30-year-old will now look to rebuild his momentum and end his recent slump with a deep run this week. He has reached at least the quarterfinals in five of his last seven appearances at the US Open, highlighting his strong record and proven ability at this venue. 

Medvedev has won 17 of his last 19 third-round matches at Grand Slams. His most recent defeat at this stage came against Jan-Lennard Struff at Wimbledon earlier this year.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
AgeBorn 11 February 1996
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 8
Career HighNo. 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 14
Tour-Level Titles23

Rinderknech Faces a Major Test in New York

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Jaume Munar in straight sets to reach the third round at the US Open, winning 7-6, 6-2, 7-5. He trailed 0-3 in the opening set before producing an impressive comeback to take control and eventually seal the match in straight sets. 

This is his third third-round appearance at the US Open. He lost at this stage in 2023 but went on to reach the fourth round last year. He will now look to repeat that run this week. 

Before arriving in New York, Rinderknech had played 19 events this year and registered multiple wins only four times. He had not won more than two main-draw matches at any event since his title-winning campaign in Shanghai 2025, highlighting his struggles to make deep runs this season. 

He heads into this clash with a 1-3 record in third-round matches at Grand Slams, with his most recent defeat at this stage coming against Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon earlier this year.

CategoryDetails
CountryFrance
AgeBorn 23 July 1995
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 29
Career HighNo. 24 (04 May 2026)
Elo RankingNo. 63
Tour-Level Titles0
James Smith
James Smith

After playing footy from the age of 8, James always knew that this is a career path that he wanted to follow. Featuring as one of our sports and betting writers, James plays an integral part of the day-to-day running of the site.

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