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Home / MMA / Raul Rosas Jr vs Raoni Barcelos Predictions & Picks – Rosas Jr To Win UFC Main Event Bout

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Raul Rosas Jr vs Raoni Barcelos Predictions & Picks – Rosas Jr To Win UFC Main Event Bout

Quick Read

  • Rosas Jr favored due to superior grappling and recent momentum
  • Fight likely to end with Rosas Jr by decision or submission
  • Barcelos is durable, but struggles against strong grapplers
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated:
raul rosas jr

Raul Rosas Jr (Getty Images)

Raul Rosas Jr vs Raoni Barcelos Predictions & Picks

Raul Rosas Jr is tipped to have his hand raised after this main event fight.

Rosas Jr can lean on his grappling to get this to the mat, and from there he is likely to grind out a win over the durable Raoni Barcelos – although a submission finish would not be massive shock.

  • Raul Rosas Jr’s last 3 wins have been by decision
  • 10 of Raul Rosas Jr’s 12 career wins have been via decision or submission
  • 3 of Raoni Barcelos’s 5 career defeats have been on points
  • Each of Raoni Barcelos’ last 4 fights have gone the distance

Raul Rosas Jr Form

Raul Rosas Jr is the number 12 ranked bantamweight contender with a professional record of 12-1 (2 KOs, 6 Subs).

Rosas Jr landed in the UFC following a successful outing on Dana White’s Contender Series, and he enjoyed a successful start as he won his first two fights.

He beat Mando Gutierrez by unanimous decision in his debut, before following that up with a first-round submission of Jay Perrin.

The 21-year-old failed to make it three-in-a-row as he was out-pointed by Christian Rodriguez in April 2023, but he has not lost since.

Rosas Jr got back on track with a 54-second knockout of Terrence Mitchell, and backed that up by submitting Ricky Turcios in the second round.

‘El Nino Problema’ then reeled off three consecutive unanimous decision wins to take his streak to five fights – out-pointing Aori Qileng, Vince Morales and Rob Font.

Raoni Barcelos Form

Raoni Barcelos is the number 13 ranked bantamweight contender with a career record of 22-5 (8 KOs, 3 Subs).

Barcelos made his UFC debut in July 2018, and made an immediate splash with a string of stoppage wins, showcasing his all-round game.

He knocked out Kurt Holbaugh in the third, before recording second-round stoppages of Chris Gutierrez, by submission, and Carlos Huachin, by TKO.

The 39-year-old then beat Said Nurmagomedov and Khalid Taha on points, before seeing his career stall with four defeats in his next five fights.

Barcelos dropped decisions to Timur Vallev and Victor Henry, and then failed to follow up a points success against Trevin Jones as he was knocked out by Umar Nurmagomedov and lost a decision to Kyler Phillips.

He sparked a turnaround in 2024 though, as he submitted Cristian Quinonez in the third round to kick off a five-fight win streak.

The Brazilian beat Payton Talbott by unanimous decision, and then scored his biggest win to date as he beat former champion Cody Garbandt on points.

Barcelos wrapped up 2025 with a decision win over Ricky Simon, and then began 2026 with a split decision success against Montel Jackson.
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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