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Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Betting Picks & Live Stream – Medvedev Favored to Reach the Quarterfinals at the US Open

  • Medvedev in strong US Open form, no sets dropped so far
  • Tiafoe struggling post-surgery, current form in question
  • Backing Medvedev to win & cover -1.5 sets is advised
James Smith
By James Smith •
Updated:
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Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev celebrates against Arthur Rinderknech in Flushing, NYSource: Getty

Daniil Medvedev's recent form may have been poor, but he has looked much better at the US Open so far, reaching the round of 16 without dropping a set. His exceptional record at this tournament also deserves plenty of respect, as he is a former champion and has consistently produced some of his best tennis in these conditions. 

Frances Tiafoe, meanwhile, underwent minor surgery last month and has looked shaky since returning to the court, which raises further questions about his current level.

Medvedev Eyes Another US Open Quarterfinal

  • Medvedev is 5–1 in fourth-round matches at the US Open. 
  • He has a 14–4 record against American opponents at Grand Slam tournaments. 
  • Tiafoe is 3–2 in fourth-round matches at the US Open. 
  • He is currently on a four-match winning streak against Top 10 players.

HTH - Daniil Medvedev leads 6-2

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026BrisbaneR16HardDaniil Medvedev6-3, 6-2
2024Laver Cup—HardFrances Tiafoe3-6, 6-4, 10-5
2023Indian WellsSFHardDaniil Medvedev7-5, 6-4
2021MiamiR16HardDaniil Medvedev6-4, 6-3
2020US OpenR16HardDaniil Medvedev6-4, 6-1, 6-0
2020Australian Open1RHardDaniil Medvedev6-3, 6-4, 6-4, 6-2
2019WashingtonR16HardDaniil Medvedev6-2, 7-5
2015NiceQ-R16ClayFrances Tiafoe6-3, 6-2

Medvedev's New York Form Continues to Improve

Daniil Medvedev secured his place in the second week at the US Open after defeating Arthur Rinderknech in straight sets, 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. He served 10 aces and won 85% of his first-serve points during the match. 

This is Medvedev's seventh round-of-16 appearance at the US Open. He has won five of his previous six matches at this stage, with his only defeat coming against Nick Kyrgios in 2022. 

The 30-year-old has been boosted by his results this week, losing his serve only once so far. This is a positive sign after he arrived at the US Open with disappointing results, winning only one match across his three lead-up events. 

Despite his struggles in recent months, Medvedev produced impressive results earlier this year, including titles in Brisbane and Dubai, a final in Indian Wells and semifinal appearances in 's-Hertogenbosch and Rome. 

He has an 11-7 record in Grand Slam round-of-16 matches and will be looking to reach his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at this stage since the 2024 US Open.

CategoryDetails
CountryRussia
AgeBorn 11 February 1996
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 8
Career HighNo. 1 (28 February 2022)
Elo RankingNo. 14
Tour-Level Titles23

Tiafoe Builds Momentum to Reach Another US Open R16

Frances Tiafoe survived a tough five-set encounter against Martin Damm in the first round but has since won his next two matches in straight sets to secure his place in the fourth round. He most recently defeated Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2, 6-4. 

This is Tiafoe's sixth second-week appearance at the US Open. He lost his first two matches at this stage but has won his last three and will be looking to extend that record this week. 

The American struggled with fitness issues a few weeks ago and also suffered early exits in Montreal and Washington. He underwent cyst removal surgery before bouncing back with a final in Cincinnati, which helped him move back into the Top 15 in the rankings. 

Tiafoe has a 5-4 record in Grand Slam round-of-16 matches, winning four of his last five at this stage. His most recent defeat came against Matteo Arnaldi in the fourth round at Roland Garros a few months ago.

CategoryDetails
CountryUnited States
AgeBorn 20 January 1998
PlaysRight-handed
World RankingNo. 12
Career HighNo. 10 (19 June 2023)
Elo RankingNo. 15
Tour-Level Titles4
James Smith
James Smith

After playing footy from the age of 8, James always knew that this is a career path that he wanted to follow. Featuring as one of our sports and betting writers, James plays an integral part of the day-to-day running of the site.

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