Wild vs Maple Leafs Prediction and Picks - Minnesota Roll On

The Minnesota Wild arrive allowing just 2.20 goals a game, which makes them the pick in this Wild vs Maple Leafs prediction against a Toronto Maple Leafs team that's 4-7-1 at Scotiabank Arena, with puck drop at 7 p.m. ET.

The Wild moneyline at -169 is the first bet. They've won 13 of 20, seven of their last 10 and four of their last five, and Wallstedt has a .925 save percentage across 17 starts.

That price is pushing the limit, but a Toronto side allowing 3.50 goals a game and missing Kirill Marchenko still leaves room, and I wouldn't go past -180.

Quinn Hughes over 0.5 assists is my second play at -164. He has 21 assists in 20 games, has set up a goal in 17 of them and plays almost 30 minutes a night.

William Nylander over 2.5 shots at -105 gives me a Toronto angle. He's cleared it in 12 of 20 games and six of his last 10, and with 56 shots and 11 goals he keeps getting looks even on a bad run.

The 2025-26 series was split 1-1, with Minnesota winning 6-3 in Toronto in January and the Leafs winning the return game. Tonight is the first meeting of this season.

That last game was March 15, 2026, a 4-2 Toronto win in St. Paul. The Leafs scored three times in the first 8.18 of the second period, and two Vladimir Tarasenko goals 23 seconds apart in the third weren't enough despite Minnesota outshooting them 38-26.

Minnesota are 7-1-2 in their last 10, and the defence is the story. Wallstedt has 12 wins, and the Wild are 5-0-2 at home and 8-3-2 on the road.

They blew a 3-1 third-period lead against Tampa Bay on Saturday, as Charle-Edouard D'Astous tied it on the power play at 16.29 and Nikita Kucherov won it in overtime. In Montreal on Tuesday, Wallstedt stopped 27 of 28 and Kaprizov won it on the power play 21 seconds into overtime.

Brock Faber is on IR with a skull injury until at least November 14, CBS Sports reports in its latest update, which takes a top-pair minute-eater out of the lineup. Wallstedt is expected in goal.

Toronto are 4-6-0 in their last 10 and have lost four straight, scoring just five goals in the last three. Auston Matthews leads them with 28 points, but the goaltending has cost them, with Sergei Bobrovsky at .881.

New Jersey shut them out 4-0 on Sunday after Timo Meier scored twice in the second. On Tuesday, Jack Roslovic tied Colorado 3-3 early in the third, but Gabriel Landeskog answered 51 seconds later and the Avalanche pulled away 6-3.

Marchenko went on IR on November 10 and Morgan Rielly is day to day, according to CBS Sports injury updates, so Toronto lose 14 points up front and could be without Rielly's minutes on the back end. Anthony Stolarz (.908) is expected to start after Bobrovsky played on Tuesday.