Hurricanes vs Kraken Predictions & Picks - Carolina Runs Seattle Over in Helsinki
- Tip: Hurricanes -1.5 puckline and Aho to record 2+ points in Helsinki.
- Carolina leads the league in goals scored and fewest shots allowed.
- Seattle’s penalty kill ranks 31st and lacks a home crowd advantage.
By Ryan Tucker • Sports Editor & Betting Analyst
Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Fact Checked by: Jeremy Darke•Updated:
Hurricanes vs Kraken Expert Predictions & Picks
I'm taking the hometown hero Sebastian Aho to record 2+ points and the Hurricanes to cover the -1.5 puckline in Helsinki Global Series on Thursday, Nov. 12, at 12 p.m. ET.
Seattle is the home team on paper only, which strips away the one edge it had. Carolina scores the most goals in the league at 4.11 a game, and it allows the fewest shots at 22.4. Seattle ranks 27th in goals against and 29th in shots allowed.
Before I bet any puck line, I check it against our NHL puck line betting stats. Carolina passes with 10 of its 14 wins coming by 2+ goals, against 57% of winners league-wide last season. Five of Seattle's 7 losses came by 2+ goals.
Aho leads Carolina with 26 points and has 2+ points in 9 of 19 games. The 2.82 price implies 35% which he is clearly exceeding. He had 2 assists against the Islanders and a goal and 2 assists against Chicago.
Key Stats
- Aho has 2+ points in 2 straight games and 9 of 19 this season
- Carolina is 8-3 on the road, with 6 of those 8 wins by 2+ goals
- Seattle's penalty kill is 31st in the NHL at 65.1%
- 22.4 shots a game against is the fewest in the league, and Seattle averages just 25.6 of its own
Head to Head
This is the first meeting this season, and the first of two in Finland as part of the Global Series. Last season was tight. Carolina won 3-2 at home in January, and Seattle won 2-1 at home in March. Both went under 6.5, and neither covered the puck line.
Carolina Hurricanes Form
The goaltending is why the margins are so wide. Pyotr Kochetkov is the projected starter at 11-1 with a .920 save percentage. Jackson Blake has a 9-game point streak, and Andrei Svechnikov has 3 goals in his last 2 games.
Jordan Staal is on injured reserve, and William Carrier is day-to-day.
Seattle Kraken Form
Seattle can score, ranking eighth at 3.56 goals a game, but it gives up the same number. Berkly Catton has an 8-game point streak. The bigger issue is the crease, where Philipp Grubauer (.890) is projected and Joey Daccord (.881) is the other option.
Jared McCann is on injured reserve. The real risk is the 2-1 and 3-2 scores from last season repeating.
Verdict
Carolina scores the most goals and allows the fewest shots in the league, and it gets a Seattle side with a leaky penalty kill and no home crowd. Give me the Hurricanes by two and Aho to keep piling up points.
Ryan Tucker
Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Sports Tipster & Betting Model Expert
Ryan is a sports content writer and editor, producing insights and analysis for major sports including NFL, NHL, NBA and more.
Born in Australia, multiple trips to North America deepened his love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.
Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for all major sporting events across basketball, ice hockey, baseball, football and Australian sports that are still close to his heart.