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Home / College Football / Texas at Tennessee Predictions & Picks – Vols To Cover As Home Underdogs In College Football

Texas at Tennessee Predictions & Picks – Vols To Cover As Home Underdogs In College Football

Quick Read

  • Tennessee are favored to cover as home underdogs vs Texas
  • Texas hasn't covered the spread in recent SEC road games
  • Both teams are 3-0 this season; the Under has hit in most of their games
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated: Sep 22, 2026
ncaaf texas tennessee
Our TipStrong confidence
Stake.us

Spread

Tennessee +5.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet
Stake.us

Total Points

Under 55.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet

Texas at Tennessee Predictions & Picks

Tennessee are tipped to cover as a home betting underdog.

Home advantage is huge for the Volunteers – the noise combined with a good defense can cause problems for Arch Manning, while the hosts can lean on DeSean Bishop to chew up clock with the run game and ensure the Vols – at worst – keep this within touching distance.

  • Texas went 0-5-0 ATS on the road last season
  • Tennessee are 3-1-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home betting underdog
  • Texas are 2-5-0 ATS as a road betting favurite since joining the SEC
  • The Under has cashed in 4 of the 6 games involving either team this season

Head To Head

  • Texas lead the all-time series 2-1
  • Texas won 36-13 when the two teams last met in January 1969

Texas Form

Texas head to Tennessee with a perfect record, having kicked off the season with three straight wins at home.

The Longhorns opened with a lay-up match against Texas State, and it was no surprise to see them cruise to a 59-7 victory.

They faced a much bigger test a week later as they played host to Ohio State, but they got the job done in thrilling fashion as they edged the Buckeyes 24-23.

Texas then made it three wins in a row last weekend, as they recorded a 30-6 win over UTSA.

Quarterback Arch Manning went 17/33 for 164 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 50 yards off nine carries as the Longhorns racked up 228 yards on the ground.

Tennessee Form

Tennessee also come into their SEC opener boasting a perfect record thanks to three consecutive victories.

The Longhorns kicked off the campaign with a one-sided home win against Furman, blowing out the visitors 56-9.

They then went out on the road for the first time a week later, and returned home with a 2-0 record thanks to a 45-24 victory over Georgia Tech.

Tennessee made it three-in-a-row last weekend, as they returned home to down Kennesaw State 42-9.

Quarterback Faizon Brandon went 18/26 for 178 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for 47 yards and a score, and Duane Morris racked up 116 yards and a touchdown on the ground.

Verdict

Texas are off to a good start, but a trip face Tennessee on the day that College Gameday has rolled up at Neyland Stadium… this is a big challenge.

The Longhorns’ recent spread record on the road makes for ugly reading too, so give us the Volunteers and the free points on Saturday.

Stake.us
Top Pick

Tennessee +5.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Stake.us

Under 55.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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