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Home / NFL / Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Predictions & Picks – Falcons To Cover As Monday NFL Underdogs

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Predictions & Picks – Falcons To Cover As Monday NFL Underdogs

Quick Read

  • Falcons are predicted to cover as road underdogs vs. Saints
  • Bijan Robinson leads Atlanta's strong run game against weak Saints defense
  • Recent matchups have all gone under the points total
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated:
nfl falcons saints
Our Tip
Stake.us

Spread

Atlanta +2.5

Odds

100.00

Place Bet
Stake.us

Total Points

Under 48.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet

Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Predictions & Picks

Atlanta are tipped to cover as a road underdog in this big NFC South matchup on Monday.

The return of Michael Penix Jr gave this Falcons offense a serious shot in the arm last week, and this unit can enjoy more success against a struggling Saints defense, ensuring the cover.
  • Atlanta Falcons upset Green Bay on the road last week
  • New Orleans Saints are 0-1-0 ATS at home this season
  • The Under has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s 3 games so far
  • The Under has cashed in each of the last 3 meetings

Head To Head

  • Atlanta Falcons lead the all-time series 58-56
  • Atlanta Falcons won 19-17 when the two teams last met in January 2026

Atlanta Falcons Form

Atlanta head out on the road for the second week in a row looking to back up their first win of the 2026 season.

The Falcons opened up the campaign with a trip to Pittsburgh, where they suffered a 20-13 defeat at the hands of the Steelers.

Their home opener then proved to be a dud, as they suffered an embarrassing 34-3 defeat to division rivals Carolina.

Atlanta finally got off the mark in Week 3 though, and they did it in shocking fashion as they knocked off the Packers in Green Bay, 35-14.

Michael Penix Jr went 18/25 for 256 yards, one touchdown and one interception, but it was Bijan Robinson who stole the show with 213 total yards and two touchdowns.

New Orleans Saints Form

New Orleans go into this matchup having dropped their home opener last time out to fall to 1-2.

The Saints kicked off the season with a visit to Detroit, and came up just short at Ford Field as they lost 31-30 in overtime to the Lions.

They rebounded a week later in Baltimore, upsetting the Ravens 24-17, but failed to follow that up in their first home game.

New Orleans first outing at the Superdome ended in a 35-27 defeat at the hands of Las Vegas.

Tyler Shough went 29/42 for 255 yards, four touchdowns and an interception, with Chris Olave turning his nine receptions into 107 yards.

Verdict

New Orleans’ run defense ranks among the worst in the league, and now it comes face-to-face with Bijan Robinson, who ran riot at Lambeau Field.

Atlanta can lean on Robinson on Monday night to ensure – at worst – they cover the number.

Stake.us
Top Pick

Atlanta +2.5

at Stake.us

Stake.us

Under 48.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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