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Home / College Football / Florida State at Alabama Predictions & Picks – Crimson Tide To Avenge 2025 College Football Loss To FSU

Florida State at Alabama Predictions & Picks – Crimson Tide To Avenge 2025 College Football Loss To FSU

Quick Read

  • Florida State at Alabama picks for Saturday, September 19
  • Game is taking place at Bryant-Denny Stadium
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated: Sep 15, 2026
ncaaf florida state alabama
Our TipStrong confidence
Stake.us

Spread

Alabama -19.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet
Stake.us

Total Points

Under 49.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet

Florida State at Alabama Predictions & Picks

Alabama are tipped to cover as they gain a measure of revenge for last year’s loss.

Keelon Russell and this Crimson Tide offense have shown flashes through the first couple of games, but more importantly this defense has been stout and can shut down FSU’s attack.

  • Alabama are 2-0 so far this season
  • Alabama are 2-0-0 ATS after two games
  • Florida State are 0-2-0 ATS so far this season
  • The Under has cashed in each of Florida State’s first two games

Head To Head

  • Alabama lead the all-time series 3-2-1
  • Florida State won 31-17 when the two teams last met in August 2025

Florida State Form

Florida State head to Alabama on the back of their first defeat of the season and with Mike Norvell still firmly in the hotseat.

The Seminoles enjoyed a winning start to the campaign, but it was an underwhelming performance from them as they beat New Mexico State 34-17 at home.

They then kicked off their ACC conference schedule with a home meeting with ranked SMU, and while they were not blown out, they did lose that matchup.

Florida State never led in the matchup and were eventually beaten by a 20-yard Nick Reed field goal with 21 seconds remaining.

In reality, SMU could – and probably would – have put the game to bed earlier had they not turned the ball over four times.

Alabama Form

Alabama go into this matchup with a perfect 2-0 record, having record back-to-back convincing wins to start the season.

The Crimson Tide began their campaign against East Carolina and it was no surprise to see them come away with a 48-10 victory.

That set them up for their SEC opener in Kentucky on Saturday, and they faced stubborn resistance in the first half and trailed the Wildcats by three heading into the break.

However, Alabama took the game over after the break, scoring 32 unanswered points as their defense shut out the hosts.

Offensively Daniel Hill was the star of the show for the Crimson Tide, racking up 104 yards and one touchdown off 18 carries.

Verdict

Our Verdict
Alabama are yet to put together a full 60 minutes, but there have been promising signs through two games.

This defense was particularly impressive in the second half last weekend, and that unit can play a key role in helping the Crimson Tide win this game and cover the spread.

Stake.us
Top Pick

Alabama -19.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Stake.us

Under 49.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

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