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Home / College Football / Texas at Oklahoma Predictions & Picks – Back Longhorns For Red River Rivalry Success In College Football

Texas at Oklahoma Predictions & Picks – Back Longhorns For Red River Rivalry Success In College Football

Quick Read

  • Texas are favored to cover the spread against Oklahoma
  • Longhorns started the 2026 season unbeaten; Oklahoma struggled with recent losses
  • Texas’s defense is expected to exploit mistakes from Oklahoma's quarterback
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated:
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ncaaf texas oklahoma
Our Tip
Shuffle

Spread

Texas -7.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet
Shuffle

Total Points

Under 39.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet

Texas at Oklahoma Predictions & Picks

Texas are tipped to cover as a big betting favorite in the latest ‘Red River Rivalry’ game.

Recent history favours the Longhorns, and nothing we have seen so far this season suggests that trend is likely to change here.

The defense can force John Mateer into more costly mistakes, while the offense produces a complementary display to ensure Texas puts some distance between themselves and their hosts on the scoreboard.
  • Texas have won the last 2 meetings by an average of 24 points
  • Texas are 3-1-0 ATS in the previous 4 meetings with Oklahoma
  • Oklahoma are 0-3-0 ATS in their last 3 games
  • The Under has cashed in 6 of the 8 games involving either team

Head To Head

  • Oklahoma lead the all-time series 37-32-3
  • Texas won 23-6 when the two teams last met in October 2025

Texas Form

Texas enter this rivalry clash boasting a perfect 4-0 record that has them sitting top of the AP rankings after five weeks.

The Longhorns kicked off the 2026 season with a 59-7 demolition of Texas State, setting themselves up for a huge early-season showdown with Ohio State.

That matchup – which many dubbed a ‘dress rehearsal’ for the National Championship – saw them avenge last year’s loss to the Buckeyes, as they ran out 24-23 winners.

There was no letdown for Texas a week later, as they made straightforward work of UTSA in a 30-6 victory.

The Longhorns then backed that up and made it four-in-a-row las weekend, as they travelled to Tennessee to beat the Longhorns 20-17.

Oklahoma Form

Oklahoma come into this matchup having split their first four games of the season, and having tasted defeat in their SEC opener.

The Sooners began the 2026 campaign with a shutout victory, as they dominated UTEP in a 51-0 win.

They failed to follow that up a week later though, as they travelled to Michigan for a 17-10 defeat to the Wolverines.

Oklahoma issued an immediate response as they returned home to beat New Mexico, but a 14-6 win was hugely underwhelming.

The Sooners then suffered their second defeat of the season last weekend, as they were blown out at Georgia, 41-13.

Verdict

Oklahoma just got blown out and underwhelmed massively in their last home games.

That spells trouble against a Texas team that has dominated them over the past couple of years and arrives in good form.

Shuffle
Top Pick

Texas -7.5

at Shuffle

-111.11Visit Site
Shuffle

Under 39.5

at Shuffle

-111.11Visit Site
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

Leigh Copson is the editor of expert picks and provides daily picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB boxing and MMA. He provides analysis of the big events across major American leagues every day.


He started out with the Press Association before moving online and working for ExpertPicks.com, FreeTips.com and other sports news and betting sites. 

He has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final and has covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.


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