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Home / NFL / Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Picks – Mahomes Returns But Back Broncos For Monday NFL Cover

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Picks – Mahomes Returns But Back Broncos For Monday NFL Cover

Quick Read

  • Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs picks for Monday, September 14
  • Game is taking place at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
Leigh Copson
Written by Leigh Copson
Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist
Updated: Sep 11, 2026
nfl chiefs broncos
Our TipStrong confidence
Stake.us

Spread

Denver +2.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet
Stake.us

Total Points

Under 43.5

Odds

-111.11

Place Bet

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Predictions & Picks

Denver are tipped to cover as a betting underdog in Monday Night Football.

Patrick Mahomes is back for the Chiefs, but the Broncos have a very healthy knack for covering against KC, and they return a defense that dominated during the 2025 season.

  • Denver Broncos are 7-2-0 ATS in the last 9 meetings
  • The betting underdog has covered in 7 of the previous 9 meetings
  • The Under has cashed in each of the previous 6 meetings
  • These two defenses allowed a combined 37.8 points per game last season

Head To Head

  • Kansas City Chiefs lead the all-time series 73-59
  • Denver Broncos won 20-13 when the two teams last met in December 2025

Denver Broncos Form

Denver have their sights set on Super Bowl glory after seeing an injury derail their quest last season.

The Broncos won 14 regular season games to finish atop the AFC West and claim the number one seeding for the playoffs.

They then beat Buffalo 33-30 in overtime in the Divisional Round, but the big news coming out of that game was a season-ending injury to starting quarterback Bo Nix.

With backup Jarrett Stidham getting the start at a snowy Mile High, Denver suffered a 10-7 defeat to New England in the AFC Championship.

Nix is back for this season though, and the Broncos enter it having gone 2-1 in the preseason, beating Atlanta 27-7 and Minnesota 34-6 either side of a 33-13 defeat to Green Bay.

Kansas City Chiefs Form

Kansas City go into the new season looking to get back to the playoffs, having seen their postseason streak end last time around.

The Chiefs were still in the hunt in late November after a 23-20 overtime win over Indianapolis lifted them to 6-5.

They did not win again though, closing out the season with a six-game losing skid that left them with a 6-11 record.

Patrick Mahomes also went down with a season-ending injury during that sequence, but he is back for this Monday night meeting with the Broncos.

Kansas City go into this matchup having failed to win any of the pre-season games, losing 20-12 to the Los Angeles Rams and 16-15 at Tampa Bay, before playing out a 9-9 tie with Seattle.

Verdict

Our Verdict
Mahomes is back and that is a big boost for the Chiefs, but we are tempted by the Broncos and the free points.

Denver have routinely covered against Kansas City during the Reid-Mahomes era, and they are returning a stout defense that played a key role in their deep playoff run last season.

Stake.us
Top Pick

Denver +2.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Stake.us

Under 43.5

at Stake.us

-111.11Visit Site
Leigh Copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

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