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Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Picks and Betting Tips - Atlanta To Take 2-1 lead in NLDS

  • Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves tips for Monday, October 11
  • First pitch for Game 3 of the NLDS is slated for 13:07 ET at Truist Field
  • Preview, stats & head-to-head
  • Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Picks & Betting Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • Milwaukee Brewers Form
  • Atlanta Braves Form

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Picks & Betting Tips


Atlanta can win Game 3 of the NLDS and take a 2-1 lead in the series. Neither the Braves or Brewers are swinging the bats well. Don’t expect a lot of runs this one.

  • The Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record
  • The Braves have won 4 of Ian Anderson’s last 6 starts
  • The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games
  • The Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series
  • The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 games following a loss
  • The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games
  • The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series
  • The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings and the Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta

Head to Head 


Atlanta defeated Milwaukee 3-0 on Saturday to even the series at 1-1 as Max Fried outdueled Brandon Woodruff. Fried scattered three hits and struck out 9 in 6 innings.  

The Braves and Brewers have split their eight matchups this year, although Milwaukee has won two of the three meetings in Atlanta.

The Braves have outscored the 4-2 in the postseason this year and Brewers 33-28.

Milwaukee Brewers Form


Milwaukee has lost six of its last eight games and is 7-13 over the last 20.

The Brewers defeated the Braves 2-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS.

Milwaukee is 50-31 on the road this year and 75-48 vs. RHPs.    

Right-hander Freddy Peralta (10-5, 2.81 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), who has not pitched well over the last two months, has allowed seven runs and 12 hits while walking two and striking out 14 over 11.2 innings his last two games. He has allowed 3 or more runs in five of his last six outings. 

Peralta has allowed one run over 4 innings in two career postseason appearances.

Peralta threw six shutout innings while allowing two hits and recording eight strikeouts against the Braves this year.      

Milwaukee is producing 1.0 run with a slash line .183/.258/.250 this postseason.    

Atlanta Braves Form


Atlanta has won three of four and is 13-3 over its last 16 games.

The Braves lost Game 1 of the NLDS 2-1 to the Brewers

Atlanta is 42-38 at home on the road and 65-55 vs. RHPs.

Right-hander Ian Anderson (9-5, 3.58 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) has been average overall since coming off the injured list at the end of September due to wildness and giving up the long ball, posting a 4-0 record with a 3.64 ERA as he has given up seven home runs while also registering a 26/14 strikeout/walk ratio.

Anderson is 2-0 in four career postseason game as he permitted two runs on 11 hits over 18.2 innings with 24 strikeouts and 10 walks.

Anderson allowed two hits and one run while recording four walks and four strikeouts over 6 innings of work in his only outing against the Brewers this year. 

Atlanta is averaging 2.0 runs a game with a slash line of .175/.257/.302 this postseason.

Verdict

Atlanta enters the game in great form and Anderson has pitched well at home lately as well as during the postseason in his career. The Braves also have swung the bats pretty well at Truist Field and against Brewers’ pitching this year.

Meanwhile, the Brewers have struggled down the stretch and Peralta has not pitched well in the last two months. Moreover, the Brewers have struggled at the plate against Atlanta pitching.

The teams have combined to average 7.7 runs in their eight games against each other this year.

Best Bet: Atlanta Braves Moneyline @-111.11 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units
Value Bet: Under 7.5 Total Runs @-111.11 at bet365 Sport NJ - 2 Units

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