Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Picks – Thunder To Win Huge NBA Finals Game 7 Showdown
20 Jun 2025
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Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Picks – Underdogs Indy To Cover Spread In NBA Finals Game 5
- Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder picks for Monday, June 16
- NBA Finals Game 5 is taking place at Paycom Center
- Preview, predictions, stats & form
(Getty Images)
- Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Picks
- Head To Head
- Indiana Pacers Form
- Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Picks
Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder Preview & Picks
Take the Pacers and the points in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
While we do expect Oklahoma City to get the win, they have only beaten Indiana by double digits once in this series, and the visitors have been a reliable spread bet on the road.
- Indiana Pacers are 7-3-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs
- Indiana Pacers are 5-1-0 ATS as a playoff underdog of 6 points or more
- The Under has cashed in 3 of the first 4 games of the series
- The Under has hit in 4 of Indiana’s last 6 road games
Head To Head
- Oklahoma City Thunder lead the all-time series 57-47
- Oklahoma City Thunder won 111-104 when the two teams last met on June 13
Indiana Pacers Form
Indiana head back out on the road having surrendered the series lead for the second time in the 2024 NBA Finals.
The Pacers made a dream start to the series as they won 111-110 in Oklahoma City in Game 1, only to then lose 123-107 in Game 2.
They rebounded in their home opener with a 116-107 victory, but they once again failed to hold onto the series lead as they lost 111-104 to the Thunder last Friday.
Indiana came into the NBA Finals having won 12 of their 16 playoff games to see off Milwaukee, Cleveland and New York.
The Pacers began the postseason with back-to-back home wins over Milwaukee, beating the Bucks 117-98 and 123-115.
They failed to sweep as they lost their road opener 117-101, but they bounced back swiftly and reeled off 129-103 and 119-118 (OT) victories to wrap up the series in five games.
Indiana maintained that momentum as they then stunned Cleveland with back-to-back road wins, 121-112 and 120-119, to take early control of the series.
The Pacers again lost Game 3, falling 126-104 at home, but they again rebounded from a defeat in style, clinching the series with a 128-109 win at home and a 114-105 victory on the road.
They then made a dream start to the Eastern Conference Finals too as they won back-to-back games in New York, beating the Knicks 138-135 in overtime and 114-109 in regulation.
Indiana’s theme of losing Game 3 continued with a 106-100 defeat at home, but they responded immediately to that loss with a 130-121 to restore their two-game lead.
The Pacers then failed to clinch on the road, losing 111-94 in New York in Game 5, but they did get the job done when they returned home, sealing an NBA Finals berth with a 125-108 victory.
Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Oklahoma City return home with an opportunity to take the series lead for the first time in the 2025 NBA Finals.
The Thunder made a rough start to the series as they lost 111-110 at home to Indiana in Game 1, but they responded well to that setback and took the second meeting 123-107.
They failed to build on that as they dropped their first road game, 116-107, only to again issue an immediate response to a loss as they knotted up the series with a 111-104 victory.
Oklahoma City entered into the NBA Finals having also won 12 of their 16 playoff games, beating Memphis, Denver and Minnesota along the way.
The Thunder made a dominant start to the playoffs as they swept Memphis in four games, winning 131-80 and 118-99 at home, and 114-108 and 117-115 on the road.
They failed to replicate that dominance in the early stages of the second round though, as they sandwiched a 149-106 win over Denver with 121-119 and 113-104 (OT) defeats.
Oklahoma City bounced back to take the next two games against the Nuggets, 92-87 and 112-105, but failed to clinch on the road as they were beaten 119-107 in Game 6.
That set up a huge Game 7 matchup, and the Thunder did not disappoint the home fans as they beat Denver 125-93 to progress to the Western Conference Finals.
They backed up that success in the early stages of the conference finals, taking control of the series with Minnesota.
Oklahoma City opened up a 2-0 series lead over the Timberwolves as they ran out 114-88 and 118-103 winners at home.
The Thunder passed up on the chance to sweep as they lost 143-101 in their first road game of the series, but they bounced back to wrap up the series with 128-126 and 124-94 wins.
Verdict
Oklahoma City are back home, where they have been in solid form in the playoffs so far.
However, this is a lot of points to cover and Indiana have delivered repeatedly in the role that they are in, so give us the Pacers and the free buckets in Game 5.
Indiana +9.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 4 Units
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Under 224.0
Total Points
@-111.11 - 2 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS
Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.
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