Michigan State vs North Dakota State Predictions & Picks – Spartans To Miss Out On March Madness Cover

leigh-copson
17 Mar 2026
Leigh Copson 17 Mar 2026
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  • Michigan State vs North Dakota State picks for Thursday, March 19
  • Game is taking place at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York
  • Preview, predictions, stats & form
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Michigan State vs North Dakota State Predictions & Picks

Michigan State are tipped to win this first-round matchup, but miss out on a cover.

North Dakota State have enough size to pose some problems in the paint, and they shoot the three-ball well enough to cover the spread in a losing effort.

  • North Dakota State are 5-3-0 ATS in their previous 8 games
  • Michigan State are 4-10-0 ATS as a double digit favorite
  • The Over has cashed in 10 of Michigan State’s last 12 games

Head To Head

  • This is the first ever meeting between the two teams

Michigan State Form

DateOppositionW/LScoreCompetition
Feb-04 Minnesota L 73-76 Regular Season
Feb-07 Illinois W 85-82 OT Regular Season
Feb-13 Wisconsin L 71-92 Regular Season
Feb-17 UCLA W 82-59 Regular Season
Feb-22 Ohio State W 66-60 Regular Season
Feb-26 Purdue W 76-74 Regular Season
Mar-01 Indiana W 77-64 Regular Season
Mar-05 Rutgers W 91-87 Regular Season
Mar-08 Michigan L 80-90 Regular Season
Mar-13 UCLA L 84-88 Conference Tournament

North Dakota State Form

DateOppositionW/LScoreCompetition
Feb-07 Saint Peter's L 65-70 Regular Season
Feb-13 Quinnipiac L 62-74 Regular Season
Feb-15 Marist W 67-63 Regular Season
Feb-20 Merrimack L 72-79 OT Regular Season
Feb-22 Saint Peter's W 72-63 Regular Season
Feb-27 Fairfield L 58-72 Regular Season
Mar-01 Rider W 76-61 Regular Season
Mar-07 Mount St Mary's W 63-58 Conference Tournament
Mar-08 Fairfield W 76-61 Conference Tournament
Mar-10 Merrimack W 64-54 Conference Tournament

Verdict

North Dakota State are likely to be one-and-done in the tournament, but they can cause some issues for the Spartans.

They rebound well and shoot the three-ball at a consistent clip, so give us the Bison and a bunch of free points in this one.

Best Bet1: North Dakota St +16.5 Spread @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 143.5 Total Points @-111.11 at Stake.us - 3 Units
North Dakota St +16.5
Spread
@-111.11 - 3 Units
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Bet at Stake.us
Over 143.5
Total Points
@-111.11 - 3 Units
55 Stake Cash no deposit & 550,000 Gold Coins & 5% Rakeback
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Sign up with the code NEWBONUS. When you verify your account get 25 Stake Cash for free PLUS 250,000 Gold Coins and 5% Rakeback! No deposit required. Login each day for the next 30 days and get an additional 30 Stake Cash AND 300,000 Gold Coins. 21+ only. T&Cs apply. Excludes WA, NY, NV, ID, KY, MI, VT, NJ, DE, WV, PA, RI & MD.

Bet at Stake.us

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