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Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton Betting Picks and Preview – Value on In-Form Mannarino in Dallas
- Adrian Mannarino is in top form, impressing with recent tournament progress
- Historically, he leads 3-1 in matches against Ben Shelton
- Shelton aims to overcome his second-round exit trend in Dallas
Adrian Mannarino returns the ball to Felix Auger Aliassime during their ATP World Tour Open Occitanie Men's final tennis match in Montpellier.
(credit: Getty)
Adrian Mannarino is in strong form right now and playing with confidence, which is exactly the zone where he becomes very difficult to beat.
Given his current rhythm, the price on him looks generous. Even if the outright result is uncertain, he looks well placed to win plenty of games and keep things tight.
Stats - Numbers Highlight Tight Matchup
- Adrian Mannarino has thrice made it to the quarterfinals in Dallas
- His most recent top-10 win came against Ben Shelton at last year’s US Open.
- Ben Shelton has won 11 of his last 13 matches against non-top-50 players.
- He has reached the quarterfinals in each of his last three tournaments.
Head-to-Head - Mannarino Leads 3-1
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US Open | Hard | R3 | Adrian Mannarino | 3–6, 6–3, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2025 | Toronto | Hard | R2 | Ben Shelton | 6–2, 6–3 |
| 2024 | Australian Open | Hard | R3 | Adrian Mannarino | 7–6(4), 1–6, 6–2, 6–3, 6–4 |
| 2023 | Miami | Hard | R2 | Adrian Mannarino | 6–4, 3–6, 6–1 |
Mannarino Turns Season Around
Adrian Mannarino endured a long dry spell stretching back to late 2025, going winless through January and struggling for rhythm.
However, he has flipped the script in February, finding form again and putting together a strong run in Montpellier last week before carrying that confidence into Dallas with another solid opening win.
The Frenchman has a strong history at this event and clearly feels comfortable in these quick indoor conditions.
He has an excellent record in Dallas, having gone deep in recent editions and holding a perfect record in 3-0 second-round matches at the event.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 37 (29 Jun 1988) |
| Height / Weight | 180 cm / 79 kg |
| Plays | Left-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 52 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 17 (29 Jan 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 96 (1716) |
| Titles | 5 |
Shelton Aiming to Avoid Second-Round Slip
Ben Shelton opened his Dallas campaign with a solid 6–4, 6–4 win over Gabriel Diallo. He now looks to avoid a second straight second-round exit at this event after falling at this stage last year to Jaume Munar.
The American impressed on debut here in 2024 by reaching the semifinals and has generally thrived in these conditions.
Shelton has already been consistent in 2026, making quarterfinal runs in Auckland and at the Australian Open. One more victory in Dallas would secure him a third quarterfinal appearance of the season.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | USA |
| Age | 23 (9 Oct 2002) |
| Plays | Left-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 9 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 5 (10 Nov 2025) |
| Elo Rank | 11 (1967) |
| Titles | 3 |
Verdict
Mannarino is clearly running hot at the moment and playing with renewed confidence, making his current price look very generous. In this kind of form, he tends to stay competitive and frustrate opponents, especially on quicker courts.
With momentum on his side and a solid record in this matchup, backing him to cover the handicap and win plenty of games looks like solid options.
Mannarino +4.5
Handicap Games
@-138.89 - 3 Units
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Over 9.5
Mannarino Total Games
@-111.11 - 2 Units
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