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Alejandro Tabilo vs Alex Michelsen Betting Picks & Live Stream – Tabilo Has the Edge at the Odds in Miami
- Alejandro Tabilo upset Andrey Rublev, reaching Miami's fourth round
- Alex Michelsen continues his strong form after reaching Miami's third round
- Tabilo's momentum positions him as a favorable bet in this tight match
Alejandro Tabilo returns a shot to Tomas Etcheverry in Rio de Janeiro
(credit: Getty)
Alejandro Tabilo and Alex Michelsen are both in excellent form and playing with plenty of confidence, and with very little separating them, this looks like a tightly contested matchup.
Tabilo Searches For Turnaround
- Tabilo is on a five-match losing streak in Masters third rounds.
- He lost five of his last eight matches vs Top 50 players.
- Alex Michelsen is 2–2 in third-round matches at Masters events.
- He has a 10–2 record vs outside Top 20 players this year.
HTH
This will be their first meeting.
Tabilo Continues Impressive Run
Alejandro Tabilo pulled off an upset by defeating Andrey Rublev 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 to reach the fourth round in Miami. After missing a set point in the first set, he took control and did not face a single break point in the match.
After a slow start to the season, he found form during the South American swing, reaching finals in Rio and the Concepcion Challenger, along with quarterfinals in Buenos Aires and Santiago.
Tabilo has a 2-5 record in Masters third-round matches. His best results include a fourth round in Indian Wells 2023 and a semifinal in Rome 2024.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Chile |
| Age | 28 (2 June 1997) |
| Plays | Left-handed |
| World Ranking | 41 |
| Career High | 19 (01 July 2024) |
| Elo Ranking | 50 (Rating: 1802) |
| Tour level titles | 3 |
Michelsen Breaks Miami Barrier
Alex Michelsen defeated Cameron Norrie 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 to reach the third round in Miami. It is his first time winning multiple matches at this event after previous second-round exits.
He is carrying momentum from Indian Wells, where he reached the fourth round with notable wins over Ugo Humbert and Taylor Fritz.
Before that run, he had suffered four consecutive early exits following his semifinal in Brisbane. Michelsen now holds a 2-2 record in Masters third-round matches.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | USA |
| Age | 21 (25 August 2004) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 40 |
| Career High | 30 (14 July 2025) |
| Elo Ranking | 33 (Rating: 1841) |
| Tour level titles | 0 |
Verdict
In such a close battle, the value lies with the underdog, so backing Alejandro Tabilo at plus odds is the preferred play here.
Alejandro Tabilo
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