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Alex De Minaur vs Arthur Fils Betting Picks and Preview - De Minaur the Big Favorite in Rotterdam
- De Minaur is a two-time runner-up in Rotterdam, poised for victory
- Fils returns after injury, faces tough conditions and top opponents
- De Minaur is the tournament favorite with his strong Rotterdam record
Alex de Minaur reached the final in Rotterdam 2024 and 2025.
(credit: Getty)
- Stats - Proven Pedigree for De Minaur in Rotterdam
- Head-to-Head - Tied at 1-1
- De Minaur Returns to One of His Best Stages
- Fils Faces Steep Challenge in Rotterdam
With such a strong record and comfort in these conditions, he arrives as one of the most reliable performers at this venue, making him a very backable bet for a straight sets win and minus handicap games.
Stats - Proven Pedigree for De Minaur in Rotterdam
- De Minaur holds a perfect 5-0 record in first round matches in Rotterdam.
- He has reached at least the quarterfinals in four of his last five visits here.
- Fils has not beaten a top 10 player indoors since 2023.
- Fils has played only three competitive matches in the last five months.
Head-to-Head - Tied at 1-1
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | De Minaur | 6–2, 6–4, 4–6, 6–3 |
| 2024 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Fils | 7–5, 6–2 |
De Minaur Returns to One of His Best Stages
De Minaur returns to Rotterdam in strong form, winning six of his last seven matches with the only loss coming to Carlos Alcaraz in the Australian Open quarterfinals.
He arrives confident at a venue where he has consistently produced some of his best tennis. He has been one of the standout performers here, finishing runner up in 2024 to Jannik Sinner and again in 2025 to Carlos Alcaraz.
With neither player in the field this year, De Minaur will see this as a big chance to go all the way and he starts as the favorite for the title.
Indoor conditions have long suited his game and he has delivered solid numbers on this surface across his career. Even in 2025 he posted a strong 12-6 indoor record, highlighted by a semifinal run at the ATP Finals.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Australia |
| Age | 26 (17 February 1999) |
| Height / Weight | 183 cm / 69 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 8 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 6 (15 Jul 2024) |
| Elo Rank | 5 (2022) |
| Titles | 10 |
Fils Faces Steep Challenge in Rotterdam
Fils missed most of the second half of 2025 through injury and also sat out the entire month of January this year.
He returned in Montpellier but looked short of sharpness and match rhythm across his matches. He dropped a set to Valentin Royer and was pushed hard by Hugo Blanchet before exiting against eventual champion Felix Auger Aliassime.
The task only gets tougher against a top 10 opponent at a venue where he has limited experience. On his Rotterdam debut in 2025 he needed three sets to beat Constant Lestienne before losing to Daniel Altmaier in the second round.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | France |
| Age | 21 (12 June 2004) |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm (6'1") / 83 kg (182 lbs) |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 42 |
| Career-High Singles Rank | 14 (14 Apr 2025) |
| Elo Rank | 23 (1876) |
| Titles | 3 |
Verdict
De Minaur’s excellent form and strong record in Rotterdam stand in sharp contrast to Fils’ lack of match fitness and recent game time.
With the gap in readiness and confidence between them, De Minaur shapes as the clear favorite for a straight sets win and to cover the minus 3.5 games handicap.
Alex de Minaur 2-0
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De Minaur -3.5
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