Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Betting Picks and Preview – Auger-Aliassime Holds Edge in Rotterdam SF

james-smith
14 Feb 2026
James Smith 14 Feb 2026
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  • Auger-Aliassime leads their head-to-head 4-2
  • Bublik is undefeated in ATP matches this season
  • Auger-Aliassime has a strong track record in Rotterdam
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime competing during Day Five of the ABN AMRO Open at Rotterdam Ahoy. (credit: Getty)

Felix Auger-Aliassime looks the fresher player coming into this matchup and has also enjoyed success at this venue in the past. His overall level has been more reliable than Alexander Bublik’s in recent outings. 

With the semifinal expected to be evenly poised and capable of going either way, Auger-Aliassime gets the nod based on form, fitness, and consistency.

Stats - Form And Momentum Collide

  • All three of Alexander Bublik's matches this week have gone the distance to three sets. 
  • Bublik is 7-0 in ATP matches so far this season. 
  • Félix Auger-Aliassime holds a perfect 2-0 semifinal record in Rotterdam. 
  • Auger-Aliassime is currently on a seven-match winning streak.

Head-to-Head - FAA Leads 4-2

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025ParisIndoor HardSFAuger-Aliassime7–6(3), 6–4
2025DubaiHardR1Auger-Aliassime7–6(4), 6–7(7), 6–3
2024MontpellierIndoor HardSFBublik4–6, 6–4, 6–4
2022BaselIndoor HardQFAuger-Aliassime6–2, 6–3
2020HamburgClayR16Bublik6–4, 6–2
2019ShanghaiHardR1Auger-Aliassime7–6(5), 4–0 ret.

Bublik Carrying Title-Winning Momentum

Alexander Bublik went on a remarkable run last year, winning four ATP titles in a row, and he appears to be in a similarly focused mindset early in 2026. His confidence and shot-making have looked sharp again. 

He began the season with a title in Hong Kong and has carried that momentum into Rotterdam, where he has reached the semifinals in just his second ATP event of the year. All three wins this week have come through tough three-set battles. 

Bublik also owns a strong career semifinal record, winning 16 of the 23 semifinals he has played on tour.

CategoryDetails
CountryKazakhstan
Age28 (17 Jun 1997)
Height / Weight198 cm / 77 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank10
Career-High Singles Rank10 (12 Jan 2026)
Elo Rank10 (1967)
Titles9

Auger-Aliassime Extends Indoor Run

Felix Auger-Aliassime got his season up and running on indoor hard courts in Montpellier last week, where he lifted the title. It was the ninth ATP title of his career and eighth on indoor hardcourts.

He has carried that momentum straight into Rotterdam, reaching the semifinals without dropping a set, deefating the likes of Tallon Griekspoor and Hamad Medjedovic. 

The Canadian also has a strong history at this venue, having made the final twice before and converting one of those runs into the title in 2022.

CategoryDetails
CountryCanada
Age25 (8 Aug 2000)
Height / Weight193 cm / 88 kg
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank6
Career-High Singles Rank5 (17 Nov 2025)
Elo Rank9 (1982)
Titles9

Verdict

On paper this shapes up as a very tight contest, with both players in strong form and well suited to indoor conditions. It’s a difficult one to call. 

However, after three gruelling three-set matches in as many days, Bublik could be slightly worn down. That may give Felix Auger-Aliassime the edge to capitalise on his current momentum.

Best Bet1: Felix Auger-Aliassime Match Winner @-212.77 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: FAA 2-0 Correct Score @120.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Yes Tie-Breaker to be Played @-149.25 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match Winner
@-212.77 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
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Bet at Stake.com
FAA 2-0
Correct Score
@120.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Yes
Tie-Breaker to be Played
@-149.25 - 1 Unit
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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