Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik Betting Picks & Live Stream – Mensik Tipped to Reach Doha Final

james-smith
3 hours ago
James Smith 3 hours ago
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  • Mensik has a strong record in Doha semifinals
  • Fils is gaining momentum post-injury
  • Head-to-head tied; Mensik holds slight edge
Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik returns a ball against Jannik Sinner during day fourth of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. (credit: Getty)


This is a matchup between two players capable of beating each other on their day. Jakub Mensik arrives with greater confidence and a stronger record at this venue, while Arthur Fils is still adjusting after returning from an injury layoff. That slight edge points toward Mensik as the outright pick.

Mensik’s Early Advantage

  • This is Arthur Fils’ maiden semifinal appearance at the ATP Doha. 
  • It is Fils’ first tour-level semifinal since April 2025. 
  • Jakub Mensik holds a 1–0 record in semifinals at Doha. 
  • Mensik is also 1–0 in semifinals played in 2026.

Head-to-Head - Tied at 1-1

YearEventSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
2025MiamiHardQFMensik7–6(5), 6–1
2024Next Gen ATP FinalsHardFils4–2, 4–3(4), 4–2

Fils Gathers Steam

Arthur Fils made a slow start to the week in Doha, but his level has improved with each round and he now finds himself in a strong position heading into the semifinals. 

He dropped his first set of the week to Kamil Majchrzak, needed a tiebreak against Quentin Halys in the second round, and then delivered his best performance in the quarterfinals by dominating last year’s semifinalist Jiri Lehecka. 

Fils has plenty to appreciate about this run, as it is his first appearance in Doha and also his first match wins in the Middle East.

 It is only his third event since returning from injury earlier this month, making the deep run even more notable. 

He is now into his first tour-level semifinal since Barcelona 2025, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets. 

CategoryDetails
CountryFrance
Age21 (12 Jun 2004)
Height / Weight6'1" (185 cm) / 182 lbs (83 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank40
Career-High Rank14 (14 Apr 2025)
Titles3
Elo Rank26 (1864)

Mensik’s Statement Win

Jakub Mensik scored the biggest win of his career by upsetting tournament favourite Jannik Sinner in three sets in the quarterfinals. 

It was a massive result for the Czech youngster, who has been building strong form since the start of the 2026 season. 

He has looked sharp in his limited appearances this year, winning the title in Auckland and reaching the later rounds in Australia before an injury withdrawal halted his progress at the Australian Open. 

The teenager now has a chance to carry this momentum into another big week. This marks Mensik’s second semifinal appearance in Doha. 

On his debut here in 2024, he defeated Gael Monfils in the semifinals to reach his maiden tour-level final.

CategoryDetails
CountryCzech Republic
Age20 (1 Sep 2005)
Height / Weight6'5" (196 cm) / 191 lbs (87 kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank16
Career-High Rank16 (18 Aug 2025)
Titles2
Elo Rank15 (1931)

Verdict

This looks like a 50-50 contest in terms of pure ability, as both players have the tools to take each other out on their day. Jakub Mensik holds a slight edge right now thanks to his stronger recent form and the confidence gained from his big win over Jannik Sinner last round. Arthur Fils is still working his way back after an injury layoff, which further works in Mensik’s favor.

Best Bet1: Jakub Mensik Match Winner @-142.86 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Mensik -2.5 Handicap Games @102.00 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Jakub Mensik
Match Winner
@-142.86 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Mensik -2.5
Handicap Games
@102.00 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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