Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci Betting Picks & Preview - Nakashima Clear Favorite in Dallas

james-smith
09 Feb 2026
James Smith 09 Feb 2026
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  • Nakashima holds a favorable head-to-head lead of 2-0 over Bellucci
  • Nakashima's strong form includes a finals appearance in Brisbane
  • Bellucci is struggling with consistency, lacking main draw wins in 2026
Brandon Nakashima
Brandon Nakashima is tipped to win his Dallas opener. (credit: Getty)

Brandon Nakashima looks a clear favorite in this matchup. His experience in these conditions and stronger recent form give him a solid edge over Mattia Bellucci. All signs point toward a relatively straightforward win if he maintains his usual standards.

Stats - Nakashima Carries Early-Season Confidence

  • Brandon Nakashima has a modest record in Dallas, with one win and two losses at the event. 
  • He has won four of his five matches at ATP level so far this year. 
  • Mattia Bellucci is making his debut at ATP Dallas this week. 
  • Bellucci is seeking his first main draw win at tour level since the Shanghai Masters last year.

Head-to-Head - Nakashima Leads 2-0

Year Event Surface Round Winner Score
2024 Surbiton Challenger Grass R1 Nakashima 6–7, 7–5, 7–6
2024 Pau Challenger Hard (Indoor) QF Nakashima 3–6, 6–4, 7–6

In-Form Nakashima Targets Deep Run

Brandon Nakashima has made a solid start to the 2026 season, reaching the final in Brisbane. That run remains his only ATP event so far this year and has given him early momentum. 

He now looks to carry that form into Dallas, a venue where results have been mixed despite the familiar conditions. He reached the second round on debut in 2022. 

He returned in 2025 but fell in the opening round. Even so, his current form and comfort on this surface make this a good opportunity to improve his record at the event.

Category Details
Country USA
Age 24 (3 August 2001)
Height / Weight 185 cm / 77 kg
Plays Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 30
Career-High Singles Rank 29 (5 May 2025)
Elo Rank 37 (1829)
Titles 2

Bellucci Searching for Form and Confidence

Mattia Bellucci is going through a difficult stretch and has struggled for consistency in both form and fitness. 

So far in 2026, he has played eight matches and won four, with none of those wins coming in main draw matches at tour level. 

His last main draw victory on the main tour came at the Shanghai Masters last October against Adam Walton. Since that result, he has played 12 matches across all levels and lost eight of them.

Category Details
Country Italy
Age 24 (1 June 2001)
Plays Left-handed (two-handed backhand)
Current Singles Rank 76
Career-High Singles Rank 63 (14 Jul 2025)
Elo Rank 136 (1660)
Titles 0

Verdict

Nakashima is not only the more accomplished and experienced player at this level, but he also arrives in significantly better form than his opponent. 

Given the gap in current momentum and overall pedigree, this shapes up as a fairly straightforward matchup. Expect Nakashima to take control and come through in straight sets.

Best Bet1: Brandon Nakashima Match Winner @-200.00 at Stake.com - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Nakashima 2-0 Correct Score @119.00 at Stake.com - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Nakashima -2.5 Handicap Games @-133.33 at Stake.com - 2 Units
Brandon Nakashima
Match Winner
@-200.00 - 4 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Nakashima 2-0
Correct Score
@119.00 - 3 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com
Nakashima -2.5
Handicap Games
@-133.33 - 2 Units
25 SC no deposit & 250,000 GC
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Get 25 Stake Cash & 250,000 Gold Coins when you sign up with code NEWBONUS at Stake.us. USA only. Excludes certain States including NY,NV,ID, KY,WA. 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet at Stake.com

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