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Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Betting Picks & Live Stream – Alcaraz and Rublev Set for Tight Doha Clash
- Alcaraz remains unbeaten in 2026, facing Rublev in ATP Doha semifinals
- Rublev has a strong record in Doha, winning three out of four semifinals
- Alcaraz leads their head-to-head 4-1; Rublev aims to challenge
---Andrey-Rublev-20023897.jpg/w=410)
Carlos Alcarez is congratulated by Andrey Rublev after their match during the Cincinnati Open in 2025.
(credit: Getty)
You simply cannot oppose Carlos Alcaraz right now given his level, form, and growing confidence this week. However, Andrey Rublev’s strong record and comfort at this venue suggest he can keep things competitive.
There is value in backing Rublev to win a healthy share of games, cover the handicap, and push Alcaraz into a tougher-than-expected battle.
Rublev’s Doha Know-How
- This is Alcaraz’s maiden SF at the ATP Doha.
- Alcaraz is yet to lose a match in 2026.
- Andrey Rublev holds a 3–1 record in ATP Doha semifinals.
- Rublev is 0–1 in semifinals this season.
Head-to-Head - Alcaraz Leads 4-1
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Hard | QF | Alcaraz | 6–3, 4–6, 7–5 |
| 2025 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Alcaraz | 6–7, 6–3, 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2024 | Masters Cup ATP | Hard | – | Alcaraz | 6–3, 7–6(8) |
| 2024 | Madrid | Clay | QF | Rublev | 4–6, 6–3, 6–2 |
| 2023 | Masters Cup ATP | Hard | – | Alcaraz | 7–5, 6–2 |
Alcaraz Unstoppable in 2026
Carlos Alcaraz dropped a set for the first time this week in the quarterfinals, battling back from a set down to defeat former champion Karen Khachanov.
This run already marks his best result at the ATP Doha, improving on his previous appearance here in 2025 when he exited in the quarterfinals.
Alcaraz remains unbeaten in 2026, winning all 11 of his matches so far, including exhibitions. The standout achievement has been completing the career Grand Slam with his Australian Open triumph.
Despite his age, he brings significant experience in tour-level semifinals, having played 46 and winning an impressive 34 of them.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Spain |
| Age | 22 (5 May 2003) |
| Height / Weight | 185 cm / 72 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 1 |
| Career-High Rank | 1 (12 Sep 2022) |
| Titles | 26 |
| Elo Rank | 1 (2293) |
Rublev Owns Doha
Andrey Rublev has been one of the standout performers in Doha in recent years, and he has carried that standard into this edition.
He is the only semifinalist yet to drop a set this week. He has controlled all three of his matches, defeating Jesper De Jong, Fabian Marozsan and Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets with authority.
While Carlos Alcaraz is making his maiden Doha semifinal, Rublev is very familiar with this stage at this venue.
Rublev has played four previous semifinals in Doha and won three of them, lifting the title in 2020 and 2025 to become the defending champion.
To reach another final, he must beat a world No. 1 for just the third time in his career, having done so twice in eight attempts.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Country | Russia |
| Age | 28 (20 Oct 1997) |
| Height / Weight | 188 cm / 70 kg |
| Plays | Right-handed (two-handed backhand) |
| Current Singles Rank | 14 |
| Career-High Rank | 5 (13 Sep 2021) |
| Titles | 17 |
| Elo Rank | 21 (1881) |
Verdict
Andrey Rublev was competitive in both of his meetings with Carlos Alcaraz in 2025, and his comfort at this venue gives him reason to believe he can push the Spaniard again. His experience and past success in Doha should help him stay within reach.
However, beating Alcaraz outright still looks like a tall order given the Spaniard’s current form and confidence. Rublev’s best path may be to keep things tight, win plenty of games, and extend the contest.
Rublev +4.5
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